Diary for May 02 2007
OUTCOME: BASIC PLAN: +5 pts [within OVERALL +4 ]
PROSPECTS (as they seemed over-night):
One for the short-list: LAST SOVEREIGN/2ND (Row 3). I was tempted to locate it in Row 2 as my stats are very encouraging, but it is opposed by a Nap (I don't like conflicts of opinion that strong) and by Newmarket (who has a nasty habit of nosing out a worthy opponent to a favourite). I shall - contentedly - major on a significant Place Only bet on it. Otherwise just a light betting day for me is in prospect.
Summary Day 032 C/F to May 03 (Month02Wk1.2Phase07ADay33) E&OE - BASIC PLAN Phase 07A (wef 01/04/07) Deficit = -619 ... within OVERALL Deficit -783 @ ave. of -c24/day O/A; 01 Overall win day in May;14 Overall win days in April, mainly small - a disappointing month.
Combo I (Press Corps) bets: 123 & Xtra Combos, share of the Total Combo (a single Win bet today covering them all) BASIC PLAN -3
See below re Combo II (Naps Table) & Combo III (Miscellaneous tips)
Rows 1 & 2 - No qualifier
Supplementary bets (Row 2): Short-List (Place Only) 'Combo,' Supplementary Mop Up, Mistake/s: Missed a couple of bets that would have been winning ones
[Not quantified], Accounting discrepancy [Negligible] [OVERALL +1]
Row 3
730 KempA: LAST SOVEREIGN/2nd F/c Evs Min val odds + 20% = 1.80 New odds stat stakes enhancer (General) x 1.83 Old odds stat stakes enhancer x 1.25 Also Infiltrated on Support (4xNaps, Opposedx1Nap) - Bets: Token Basic Place Only BASIC PLAN EVEN [+0.18]
Place Only I - on Row 3 - Bets: Basic BASIC PLAN EVEN [+0.42]
Place Only II
Chel: PAK JACK/2ND; KempA: SPIDERBACK/WON/SALSADOR/LOST - Bets: Token Basic [OVERALL -4]
Naps I - No selection
Naps II
LAST SOVEREIGN/2nd - Bets: Basic Place Only BASIC PLAN EVEN [+0.18]
Place Only III/Naps
ROYAL FANTASY/LOST (Double stake), HAWRIDGE PRINCE/LOST, BINOCULAR/3RD - missed bet, CESARE/WON (Double stake), HOH MIKE/WON, LAST SOVEREIGN/2nd, SPIDERBACK/WON - Bets: Basic Place Only BASIC PLAN +8
A) Miscellaneous Tips:
(i) No Main tip [Bets typically (against advice) @ 3 pts (for 'large' field) split between a tiny Win bet and the (doubled) balance To Place OVERALL N/A] (ii) RP International Zone: RSA DARWIN/WON - Bet: Tiny Place Only [OVERALL EVEN (+0.27)] (iii) Place Only Aust/Free "Bet4Place" tips (overnight): 5PL(incl.3W)2L (1 Winner missed) [OVERALL +1 ]; (iv) Miscellaneous cards (incl. Spotlight/Free Pricewise if any/on F/c Odds): Ball(IR) FOR A SONG/WON F/c 11/10 Chan(Fr) SATWA QUEEN/2ND bet missed - Bets: Small Place Only [OVERALL EVEN (+0.04) ] (v) Anti-Post: ADAGIO @ 7/2 (SportingOdds) for 5th May
B) Processed:
Combo III: No bet [OVERALL N/A]
[(i) Endorsements over obstacles: Discontinued (until next Jumps season) OVERALL N/A] (ii) Sporting Post (RSA) Selections: Race 2 Clai: STREET CAT/WON F/c 6/10 - Bets: Small Win [OVERALL EVEN (+0.44)] (iii) RP Selection Boxes: Chel: BEAUCHAMP ORACLE/WON; Nott: ARABIAN TREASURE/WON, ANGEL KATE/2ND; Pont: STRINGSOFMYHEART/NO RUN, MANAAL/LOST- Bets: Basic Place Only [OVERALL EVEN (+0.25)]


