Diary for Apr 30 2007
OUTCOME: BASIC PLAN: +9 pts [within OVERALL -7]
PROSPECTS (as they seemed over-night):
Just ZILCASH/WON (Row 1) in my short-list.
I struggled for peripheral bets. Another tricky day, I would say.
Notes:
(1) As my blog diary for 2006/7 ended but mid-way towards some sort of conclusion, I decided to carry on into 2007/8.
(2) "Basic Plan" bets seem to have broken even in 2006/7 (yet to be double checked).
(3) "Overall," however, seems to have ended with a 2875 pts deficit (@ an ave. of -7.9 per day/365 - not yet double checked). I enjoyed easily 8 pts worth of entertainment per day from the year, of course, but I had envisaged a healthy gain would accrue from my efforts. So the outcome is disappointing to say the least. The damage was done early in the year and, mainly as a consequence of loss of "Scope" (enforcing lower stakes), I failed to recover from it. Basically, I relied on too many major win bets in Phase A and was too slow in catching myself on.
(4) I've not lost faith in the general approach, though. The format, in its present state of evolution, is in fairly good shape, I believe, despite the bad start made to the new financial year.
Summary Day 030 C/F to May 01 (Month02Wk1.1Phase07ADay31) E&OE - BASIC PLAN Phase 07A (wef 01/04/07) Deficit = -555 ... within OVERALL Deficit -701 @ ave. of -c24/day O/A = 14 Overall win days so far this month, mainly small
Combo I (Press Corps) bets: 123 & (a Win single today) Xtra Combos and 3/5th share of the Total Combo BASIC PLAN +2
See below re Combo II (Naps Table) & Combo III (Miscellaneous tips)
Row 1
310 Towc. ZILCASH/Won F/c 2/7 Min value odds according to my Odds Config. stat + 20% = 1.61 New odds stat stakes enhancer (Row 1) x 2.12 Old odds stat stakes enhancer x 1.68 - Bets: Token Basic and Star + Mop Ups, 2-Row Doubles (with Naps I when possible, today overlooked), 2-Row Doubs/Trebs (with Row 2, today overlooked), Basic Place Only overlooked BASIC PLAN +3
Row 2 - No qualifier
Supplementary bets (Row 2): Short-List (Place Only) 'Combo,' Supplementary Mop Up, Mistakes: Several omissions [Not quantified: I've been operating below par lately], Accounting discrepancy [Negligible] [OVERALL EVEN (-0.15)]
Row 3 - No qualifier
Infiltrated on Support: 655 SoutA: OFF THE RECORD/WON F/c 7/4 (6xNaps,1xNB,Opposed 1xNB); 710 Wind: RIVER KIROV/unlucky 2ND F/c 9/2 (2xNaps,2xNBs) Pity. A Win by River Kirov @ 4/1 would have served the Combos quite well - Bets: Tiny Win on River Kirov, Token Basic Place Only on Off The Record BASIC PLAN EVEN [-0.03]
Place Only I - on Row 1 - Bets: Basic BASIC PLAN EVEN [+0.23]
Place Only II
SoutA: OFF THE RECORD/Won; Towc: SMART TIGER/2ND - Bets: Token Basic [OVERALL +1]
Naps I
ZILCASH/Won (Double stake) & OFF THE RECORD/Won (Triple stake) - Bets: Token Basic + Mop Up on Zilcash BASIC PLAN +2
Naps II - No selection [BASIC PLAN N/A]
Place Only III/Naps
ZILCASH/Won (Double stake but Capped @ half), MUTUAL FRIEND/LOST, OFF THE RECORD/Won (Triple stake), STACK THE PACK/LOST, DOCOFTHEBAY /2ND- Bets: Basic Place Only BASIC PLAN +1
A) Miscellaneous Tips:
(i) No Main tip [Bets typically (against advice) @ 3 pts (for 'large' field) split between a tiny Win bet and the (doubled) balance To Place OVERALL N/A] (ii) RP International Zone: 140 Scot(RSA) WAR ARTIST/WON F/c 4/10; 740 Phil(USA) I'M URBANE/LOST F/c 5/2 - Bets: Tiny Place Only [OVERALL EVEN (+0.04) ] (iii) Place Only Aust/Free "Bet4Place" tips (overnight): 2L [OVERALL -16]; (iv) Miscellaneous cards (incl. Spotlight/Free Pricewise if any/on F/c Odds): None - [Bets typically: Small Place Only OVERALL N/A] (v) Anti-Post: ADAGIO @ 7/2 for 5th May
B) Processed:
Combo III: RSA(Scot): Treble [OVERALL +1]
(i) Endorsements over obstacles (Good words), including my dedicated stats for this bet category, at Towc: SMART TIGER/2nd (88W60L) ZILCASH/Won (91W38L) Bets: Basic Place Only [OVERALL +2] (ii) Sporting Post (RSA) Selections: Turf: 1W2PL Bets: Tiny Win [OVERALL -4] (iii) RP Selection Boxes: SIX OF DIAMONDS/LOST DIKTATORSHIP/2ND CAISLEAN NA DEIRGE CASTARA BAY/ANCIENT CULTURE [Bets typically: Basic Place Only OVERALL N/A]