Diary for Apr 29 2007
OUTCOME: BASIC PLAN: -14 pts [within OVERALL -49]
PROSPECTS (as they seemed over-night):
BRAVE REBELLION/WON (Row 1) & GO FOR BUST/PULLED UP (Row 2) comprised my short-list today on quite good stats (but I was uneasy about their helpfulness).
I found peripheral bets hard to find - suggestive of a difficult day in prospect.
Summary Day 029 C/F to April 30 (Month01Wk4.7+2 Phase07ADay30) E&OE - BASIC PLAN Phase 07A (wef 01/04/07) Deficit = -564 ... within OVERALL Deficit -694 @ ave. of -c24/day O/A = 14 Overall win days so far this month, mainly small
Combo I (Press Corps) bets: Xtra Combo (a Double today) plus Xtras BASIC PLAN -2
See below re Combo II (Naps Table) & Combo III (Miscellaneous tips)
Row 1
535 Weth. BRAVE REBELLION/Won F/c 1/3 Min value odds according to my Odds Config. stat + 20% = 1.35 New odds stat stakes enhancer (Row 1) x 2.70 (based on 37 results: 27W10L) Old odds stat stakes enhancer x 3.75 - Bets: Token Basic and Star + Mop Ups, 2-Row Doubles (with Naps I when possible, today no enhancement of the Basic bet), 2-Row Doubs/Trebs (with Row 2, today Sequential Doubles but the 2nd bet not done), Basic Place Only BASIC PLAN +5
Row 2
445 Ludl. GO FOR BUST/PU F/c 10/11 Min val odds + 20% = 1.81 New odds stat stakes enhancer (Row 2) x 1.62 Old odds stat stakes enhancer x 4.86 (based on 41 results: 34W7L) - Bets: Token Basic + 6th rung FS + Mop Ups, 2-Row Doubs/Trebs (with Row 1), Short-List (Place Only) 'Combo,' Supplementary Mop Ups, Mistake/s: Several omissions [Not quantified: I've been operating below par lately], Accounting discrepancy [Negligible] BASIC PLAN -16 [plus OVERALL -22]
Row 3 - No qualifier [Bets typically: Token Basic Place Only + Mop Ups BASIC PLAN N/A]
Place Only I - on Rows 2&3 - Bets: Basic BASIC PLAN -4
Place Only II - No selection [Bets typically: Token Basic OVERALL N/A]
Naps I & II - No selection [BASIC PLAN N/A]
Place Only III/Naps
Brig: HARRISON FLYER/2ND/COSMIC DESTINY/LOST; Weth: BRAVE REBELLION/Won - Bets: Ad hoc Place Only BASIC PLAN +1
A) Miscellaneous Tips:
(i) Main tip was SHANNON'S PRIDE/LOST F/c 9/2 - Bets (against advice) @ 5 pts (for 'large' field) split between a tiny Win bet and the (non-doubled) balance To Place [OVERALL -5] (ii) RP International Zone: Chur(USA) 8.15 PATRICIA'S CAT F/c 5/1/LOST yesterday, Chur(USA) MURCH/LOST F/c 3/1 Bets: Place Only [OVERALL EVEN (-0.28) ] (iii) Place Only Aust/Free "Bet4Place" tips (overnight): 3PL (incl.2W)3L [OVERALL -3]; (iv) Miscellaneous cards (incl. Spotlight/Free Pricewise if any/on F/c Odds): Long(Fr): CHINANDEGA/3RD, DYLAN THOMAS/WON, HOST NATION/WON - Bets: Small Ad hoc Place Only (Fr.) [OVERALL +3]
B) Processed:
Combo III: RSA(Turf): Capped 5-Fold EW Accum. + Xtra [OVERALL -1]
(i) Endorsements over obstacles (Good words), including my dedicated stats for this bet category, at Ludl: DARIAK/WON (17W29L) QUIRINA/WON (11W22L) GO FOR BUST/pu (88W59L); at Weth: BRAVE REBELLION/Won (37W29L) Bets: Basic Place Only [OVERALL -1] (ii) Sporting Post (RSA) Selections: Turf: 1W3PL1L Bets: Tiny Win (1xSignificant) [OVERALL -6] (iii) RP Selection Boxes: Selections but no bets today [Bets typically: Basic Place Only OVERALL N/A]