Diary for Apr 28 2007
OUTCOME: BASIC PLAN: -2 pts [within OVERALL -6]
PROSPECTS (as they seemed over-night):
Just MANY VOLUMES/WON (Row 3) made it into my short-list - sort of by default. Several others had good/excellent Majority stats in my records but threw up negatives of one sort or another that Many Volumes simply didn't. I can't recommend it especially; but I've nothing against it either. My gut feeling is it probably should not be in my short-list despite what my numbers indicate. I take a chance on it, in short.
I ended up with a fair number of peripheral bet prospects that should make the afternoon interesting - but I've no idea how the day will go overall. I suspect it will be difficult and, probably, another one that disappoints (to add to this month's collection!). I hope for the best. In fact, I had a modestly successful afternoon, undermined ultimately by the failure of today's subscription tip (Cornish Sett). So disappointing when that happens!
Summary Day 028 C/F to April 29 (Month01Wk4.7+1 Phase07ADay29) E&OE - BASIC PLAN Phase 07A (wef 01/04/07) Deficit = -550 ... within OVERALL Deficit -645 @ ave. of -c24/day O/A = 14 Overall win days so far this month, mainly small
Combo I (Press Corps) bets: 123 Combo, Xtra Combo (Win bet today) & half share of Total Combo, plus Xtras BASIC PLAN +1
See below re Combo II (Naps Table) & Combo III (Miscellaneous tips)
Row 1 - No qualifier
[Bets typically: Token Basic and Star + Mop Ups, 2-Row Doubles (with Naps I, an enhancement of the Basic bet today), 2-Row Doubs/Trebs (with Row 2, sometimes Sequential Doubles), Place Only]
Row 2 - No qualifier [Bets typically: Token Basic + FS, 2-Row Doubs/Trebs (with Row 1)] Today: Supplementary Bets: Short-List (Place Only) 'Combo,' Supplementary Mop Up, 7th rung Remedial Supplementary on Many Volumes/Won + Mop Up, Mistake/s if any [Nil], Accounting discrepancy [Negligible] [OVERALL +10]
Row 3
505 Leic. MANY VOLUMES/Won F/c 4/7 Min value odds according to my Odds Configuration stat + 20% = 1.81 New odds stat stakes enhancer (General) x 1.86 Old stat stakes enhancer x 1.26
230 Ripo. EBN REEM/LOST F/c 11/4 Taking a chance, Infiltrated on Support (1xNap,1xNB) - Bets: Token Basic Place Only + Mop Ups BASIC PLAN +1
Place Only I - on Row 3 (but not Ebn Reem) - Bets: Basic BASIC PLAN EVEN [+0.44]
Place Only II
Leic: LEGENDARY GUEST/LOST; MarkR: THREE SHIPS/3RD, SELF RESPECT/WON; Ripo: LATANAZUL/2ND; Sand: DEMPSEY/WON - Bet: Token Basic [OVERALL +2]
Naps I - No selection
Naps II
LEGENDARY GUEST/Lost & SELF RESPECT/Won - Bets: Token Basic Place Only BASIC PLAN EVEN [+0.04]
Place Only III/Naps
Hayd: PICKERING/LOST; Leic: LEGENDARY GUEST/Lost; MarkR: SELF RESPECT/Won Added (due to non-runner): REVEILLEZ/2ND - Bets: Basic Place Only BASIC PLAN -3
A) Miscellaneous Tips:
(i) Main tip was CORNISH SETT/LOST F/c 13/2 - Bets (against advice) @ 5 pts (for small field) split between a tiny Win bet and the (doubled) balance To Place [OVERALL -10] (ii) RP International Zone: RSA(Grey): MR ESPLENDID/LOST F/c 3/1 Chur(USA) 8.15 PATRICIA'S CAT F/c 5/1/Late result - see tomorrow [OVERALLEVEN (-0.11) ] (iii) Place Only: Aust/Free "Bet4Place" tips 4PL (incl.?W)4L [OVERALL -4]; (iv) Miscellaneous cards (incl. Spotlight/Free Pricewise/on F/c Odds): Punc(IR): KRANJI/2ND F/c 7/2 WILD ROBBIE/LOST F/c 12/1 ROAD TO LOVE/LOST F/c 6/1- Bets: Tiny Win [OVERALL EVEN (-0.27)]
B) Processed:
Combo III: RSA(Grey): Doubles, Trebles & Accum. [OVERALL -4]
(i) Endorsements over obstacles (Good words), including my dedicated stats for this bet category, at Sand: TREASURY COUNSEL/3RD (30W35L) THREE SHIPS/3RD/BEAU LARGESSE/LOST - no match (90W37L) SELF RESPECT/WON (30W35L) RAINBOW TREE/LOST (23W25L) [OVERALL EVEN (-0.09)] (ii) Sporting Post (RSA) Grey: 2W1PL3L Bets: Win + 1xEW [OVERALL +2] (iii) RP Selection Boxes: MarkR: INSURGENT/2ND, ISSAQUAH/2ND; Ripo: SINEAD OF AGLISH/2ND [OVERALL +1]