Diary for Apr 22 2007
OUTCOME: BASIC PLAN: -82 pts [within OVERALL -96]
PROSPECTS (as they seemed over-night):
I've 4 qualifiers in my short-list today: MALAKIYA/LOST & POLINAMIX/WON (Row 1), ARTADI/WON (Row 3) & TREASULIER/2ND (Place Only I). I found only a small number of other, peripheral, selections (aside from the new Place Only III/Naps category).
On paper, I should do all right today, but I've an uneasy feeling it may not work out that way. I was right. Therefore, I am operating in cautious mode over my stake sizes: 'penny a point,' by and large.
Summary Day 022 C/F to April 23 (Month01Wk4.2 Phase07ADay23) E&OE - BASIC PLAN Phase 07A (wef 01/04/07) Deficit = -552 ... within OVERALL Deficit -560 @ ave. of -c25/day O/A = 13 win days so far this month, mainly small
Combo I (Press Corps) bets: 123 Combo, Xtra Combo & 3/7ths share of the Total Combo, + Xtras BASIC PLAN -31
See below re Combo II (Naps Table) & Combo III (Miscellaneous tips)
Row 1
230 Stra. MALAKIYA/Lost F/c 4/9 Min value odds according to my Odds Configuration stat + 20% - 1.34 New odds stat stakes enhancer (Row 1) x 2.89 Old Sundays odds stat stakes enhancer x 1.90
350 Winc. POLINAMIX/Won F/c 1/5 Min val odds + 20% = 1.34 New odds stat staakes enhancer (Row 1) x 2.89 Old Sundays odds stat stakes enhancer x 4.71 (based on 40 results: 33W7L)
Bets: 'Penny a point' Basic and Star + Mop Ups, 2-Row Doubles (with Naps I), 2-Row Doubs/Trebs (with Row 2 when possible, today Sequential Doubles), Penny a Point Place Only, Short-List (Place Only) 'Combo,' Supplementary Mops Ups, Ad Hoc Supplementary in running on SMART CAVALIER/2ND, Mistakes: I made several, notably (1) omitting to do a Remedial Supplementary on Artadi, (2) effecting a Win bet on Treasulier as, wrongly, a 123 Combo Xtra, and (3) making a Place Only bet on Polinamix that was meant to be a Win bet [-12], Discrepancy [+5] BASIC PLAN -17 [plus OVERALL -10]
Row 2 - No qualifier
Row 3
250 Winc. ARTADI/Won F/c 10/11 Min val odds + 20% = 1.81 New odds stat stakes enhancer (General) x 1.86 Old Sundays odds stat stakes enhancer x Zero - Bet: Token Basic Place Only BASIC PLAN EVEN [+0.06]
Place Only I - on Rows 1 & 3 and
320 Winc. TREASULIER/2nd F/c 6/4 Min val odds +20% = 2.32 New odds stat stakes enhancer (General) x 1.86 Old Sundays odds stat stakes reducer x 0.75 - Bet: Token Basic BASIC PLAN -1
Place Only II
Stra: QUARTERBACK/WON bet omitted in error; Winc: PRINCE ARY/2ND - Bet: Token Basic [OVERALL EVEN (+0.01)]
Combo II (Naps Table): Bets: 4/7ths s share of Total Combo + Xtras BASIC PLAN -16
Naps I
MALAKIYA/Lost, ARTADI/Won (Double stake) Win bet omitted in error & POLINAMIX/Won - Bets: 'Penny a point' Basic, Token Place Only, Doubles, 2-Row Doubles (with Row 1) BASIC PLAN -7
Naps II
Stra: SMART CAVALIER/2nd (Double stake) Missed getting my Place Only bet matched and chanced a win bet in running (accounted under Overall) - Bets: Token Basic Place Only BASIC PLAN EVEN [+0.46]
Place Only III/Naps (New) Note: Name changed from "Naps III"
VELVET VALLEY/LOST SMART CAVALIER/2nd (Double stake) DICHOH/2ND VACATION/LOST MALAKIYA/Lost POLINAMIX/Won ARTADI/Won MOTARJM/LOST omitted bet in error - Bets: Basic Place Only BASIC PLAN -8
A) Miscellaneous Tips:
Combo III: None [OVERALL N/A]
(i) No Main tip [Bets (against advice) @ 3 pts (for large field) split between a tiny Win bet and balance To Place. I took a chance adding 2 pts to the Place Only bet to benefit from what looked a good late price OVERALL N/A] (ii) RP International Zone: Keen(USA): SOARING BY F/c 7/2/LOST Scot(RSA): KARDAMAN/LOST Sani(USA): ONE OFF/Late result - see tomorrow [OVERALL -1] (iii) Place Only: Aust/Free "Bet4Place" tips: Zero Basic Place Only bets overnight [OVERALL N/A]; (iv) Miscellaneous cards (incl. Spotlight/Free Pricewise/on F/c Odds): Cork(IR) MRS BROPHY/PLACED - Bets: Tiny Place Only [OVERALL EVEN (+0.02)]
B) Processed:
(i) Endorsements over obstacles (Good words), including my dedicated stats for this bet category at Stra: MALAKIYA/Lost (20W14L) SMART CAVALIER/2nd-failed to match bet (84W56L) MISSIS POTTS/WON (45W50L); at Winc: PRINCE ARY/2nd/ARTADI/Won (86W37L) POLINAMIX/Won/IRISH WARRIOR/2ND (86W37L) [OVERALL -4] (ii) RP Selection Boxes: Wolv - yesterday: VANQUISHED/2ND/GULF EXPRESS/WON; Today: MAHMJRA/3RD MISSIS POTTS/WON MOTARJM/LOST-no bet in error [OVERALL +1] (ii) Sporting Post (RSA) Scot & (Zimbabwe) Barr: Various - Bets: Win/EW, EWDoubles/Treble [OVERALL EVEN (+0.16)]
Bets (both sections): An assortment of small/miniscule Win, and/or Place/Show bets, plus/or the occasional EW