Diary for Apr 20 2007
OUTCOME: BASIC PLAN: +2 pts [within OVERALL +25]
PROSPECTS (as they seemed over-night):
I found a short-list difficult but eventually settled on just THUNDER BAY/WON (Row 2). But I've chanced 3 "infiltrations" into Row 3: Eternal Path/3RD, Not For Diamonds/4TH & Gabier/WON.
Peripheral selections were easier to assemble. But I'm no more than hopeful, today.
Summary Day 020 C/F to April 21 (Month01Wk3.7 Phase07ADay21) E&OE - BASIC PLAN Phase 07A (wef 01/04/07) Deficit = -480 ... within OVERALL Deficit -488 @ ave. of -c24/day O/A = 12 win days so far this month, mainly small
Combo I (Press Corps): Bets: 123 Combo, Xtra Combo on Place Only I (win bet today), 2/3rds share of the Total Combo, plus Xtras BASIC PLAN -1
See below re Combo II (Naps Table) & Combo III (Miscellaneous tips)
Row 1 - No qualifier
Row 2
200 Thir. THUNDER BAY/Won F/c 4/7 Min value odds, according to my Odds Configuration stat, + 20% = 1.61 New odds stat stakes enhancer (Row 2) x 1.38 Old odds stat stakes enhancer x 1.23 - Bets: Token Basic + Capped 5th rung FS + Mop Ups, 2-Row Doubs/Trebs (with Row 1 when possible, today tiny enhancements of the Basic bet), Basic Place Only, Short-List (Place Only) Supplementary, Supplementary Mop Up on Place Only I inclusions, Mistake/s [Nil], Discrepancy [+0.44] BASIC PLAN +2 [plus OVERALL +22]
Row 3 - No qualifier
Newb: ETERNAL PATH/3rd F/c 2/1 By Infiltration on Support (2xNPs,2xNBs); Here: GABIER/Won F/c 9/4 By Infiltration on Support (1xNap) & NOT FOR DIAMONDS/4th F/c 13/8 By Infiltration on Support (1xNap) - Bets: Token Basic Place Only BASIC PLAN EVEN [+0.23]
Place Only I - On Row 2
Bets: Token Basic BASIC PLAN EVEN [+0.38]
Place Only II
Ayr: ANGE DE VILLEZ/FELL; Here: HIGH LIFE/3RD/SABRE HONGROIS/WON (but I decided, alas, not to back it after all), NOT FOR DIAMONDS/4th [OVERALL -1]
Combo II (Naps Table): Bets: 1/3rd share of Total Combo + Xtras BASIC PLAN -1
Naps I - No selection
Naps II
THUNDER BAY/Won & HIGH LIFE/3rd - Bets: Token Basic Place Only BASIC PLAN EVEN [+0.26]
Naps III (New) - Day 1, no selection! (I rejected the following: Ayr: Otto des Pictons(W); LingA: Teen Ager(W@12/1)/Mutual Friend(L); Newb: Winker Watson(W@9/4), Eternal Path(PL); Thir: Il Castagno(PL@16/1)) Oops
A) Miscellaneous Tips:
Combo III: 5-Fold EW Accum. [OVERALL EVEN (-0.26)]
(i) No Main tip [Bets (against advice usually) @ 5 pts (for small field) or 3 pts (for large field) split between a small Win bet and balance To Place OVERALL N/A] (ii) RP International Zone: Race 6 Keen(USA) DANZON/WON yesterday, Race 10 Keen(USA) LADY CARLOCK F/c 15/1/Late result - see tomorrow [OVERALL EVEN (+0.04)] (iii) Place Only: Aust/Free "Bet4Place" tips: 6 bets overnight: 4PL(inc.0W)2L1NR - Bets: Small Show [OVERALL EVEN (-0.16)]; (iv) Miscellaneous cards (incl. Spotlight/Free Pricewise/on F/c Odds): Lime(IR) 240 CRAZY VOLUME/LOST F/c 5/4, 450 CONSUL GENERAL/WON F/c 4/7 (Bets: Tiny win & Place Only) [OVERALL EVEN (-0.08)]
B) Processed:
(i) Endorsements over obstacles (Good words), including my dedicated stats for this bet category at Ayr: OTTO DE PICTONS/Won (21W25L) ANGE DE VILLEZ/Fell (35W41L) PETIT LORD/Won (80W56L) GO SOLO/2ND (21W25L); Here: FIRST FOUGHT/Lost (35W41L) GABIER/Won (11W22L) HIGH LIFE/3rd/SABRE HONGROIS/Won no bet (93W66L) CAMERON BRIDGE/WON (80W56L) NOT FOR DIAMONDS/4th (34W28L) [OVERALL +7] (ii) RP Selection Boxes: Ayr: PETIT LORD/Won F/c 6/5 GO SOLO/2nd F/c 7/4; Here: FIRST FOUGHT/Lost F/c 9/4 CAMERON BRIDGE/Won F/c 5/4 [OVERALL +2] (ii) Sporting Post (RSA) Clai: Race 1 ABSOLUTE DANCER EW/3RD F/c 6/1, R4 *MUVANGO/2ND F/c 2/1, R6 *DRUID'S CAUSEWAY/LOST F/c Evs, R7 *ZIPLOCK/WON F/c 1/3, R9 LADY LARNEY EW/LOST F/c 6/1 - Bets: Win/EW, *EWDoubles/Treble [OVERALL -6]
Bets (both sections): An assortment of small/miniscule Win, and/or Place/Show bets, plus/or the occasional EW