Diary for Apr 18 2007
OUTCOME: BASIC PLAN: -6 pts [within OVERALL -19]
PROSPECTS (as they seemed over-night):
Short-list of 3: SAWWAAH/LOST & SHEVCHENKO/3RD (Row 3), MY TURN NOW/WON (Place Only I). My stats on the former 2 are excellent on paper. On the latter, two of my 3 stats are worse than 50/50 for the win, the 3rd not bad at all. I am being extra cautious today for some reason. Not much risked. I hope for a small profit.
I found it otherwise hard to make peripheral selections. It's partially a Laura Luck day, I'd say.
Summary Day 018 C/F to April 19 (Month01Wk3.5 Phase07ADay19) E&OE - BASIC PLAN Phase 07A (wef 01/04/07) Deficit = -489 ... within OVERALL Deficit -522 @ ave. of -c29/day O/A = 10 win days so far this month, mainly small
Combo I (Press Corps): Bets: 123 Combo (Doubles today, Win & EW), Xtra Combo on Place Only I inclusions, 2/5ths of Total Combo BASIC PLAN -2
See below re Combo II (Naps Table) & Combo III (Miscellaneous tips)
Rows 1 & 2 - No qualifier
Bets (Row 2): Short-List (Place Only) 'Combo,' 3rd rung Token Remedial Supplementaries on both SAWWAAH/Lost & SHEVCHENKO/3rd, Supplementary Mop Ups on Place Only I inclusions, Mistake/s [Nil], Discrepancy [-0.53] [OVERALL -8]
Row 3
210 Beve. SAWWAAH/Lost F/c 6/4 Min value odds, according to my Odds Configuration stat, + 20% = 1.81 New odds stat stakes enhancer (General) x 1.86 Old odds stat stakes enhancer x 2.16
455 Newm. SHEVCHENKO/3rd F/c 5/6 Min val odds + 20% = 1.81 New odds stat stakes enhancer (General) x 1.86 Old odds stat stakes enhancer x 1.66 - Bets: Token Basic Place Only + Mop Up BASIC PLAN -1
Place Only I - On Row 3 and
Chel: MY TURN NOW/WON F/c 11/10 - Bets: Token Basic BASIC PLAN EVEN [-0.46]
Place Only II
Beve: RUNSWICK BAY/3RD; Chel: LAUSTRA BAD/WON/LESTER LEAPS IN/LOST - Bets: Basic [OVERALL EVEN (+0.12)]
Combo II (Naps Table): Bets: 3/5ths of Total Combo BASIC PLAN -1
Naps I
Newm: SANDER CAMILLO/2ND (Quadruple stake) - Bets: Token Basic + Mop Up, Token Basic Place Only, 'Double' (enhancement of the Basic bet), 2-Row Double (with Row 1 when possible, today a further enhancement of the Basic bet) BASIC PLAN -1
Naps II
SAWWAAH/Lost & SHEVCHENKO/3rd - Bets: Token Basic Place Only BASIC PLAN -1
A) Miscellaneous Tips:
Combo III: 5-Fold EW Accum. [OVERALL EVEN (-0.10)]
(i) Main tip was SWEET DIVERSION/3RD F/c 3/1 - Bets (following advice today) @ 2 1/2 pts (for small field) i.e. 5,6 & 8/12 incl. runners deemed "Small", 7 and more than 12 deemed "Large," + an Xtra Place Only saver of 2 pts OVERALL -2] (ii) RP International Zone: 713 Phil(USA) QUEEN MO F/c 5/1/LOST yesterday Keen(USA): DUBAI GOLD/LOST F/c 8/1 [OVERALL EVEN (-0.14)] (iii) Place Only: Aust/Free "Bet4Place" tips: 5 bets overnight: 2PL(incl.1W)3L - Bets: Small Show [OVERALL -2]; (iv) Miscellaneous cards (incl. Spotlight/Free Pricewise/on F/c Odds): No selection [OVERALL N/A]
B) Processed:
(i) Endorsements over obstacles (Good words), including my dedicated stats for this bet category at Chel: LAUSTRA BAD/Won/LESTER LEAPS IN/Lost (77W55L) BOYCHUK/LOST (35W40L) MY TURN NOW/WON (77W55L) - Bets: Basic Place Only [OVERALL -1] (ii) RP Selection Boxes: Beve: ARTDEAL/WON; Chel: BOYCHUK/Lost [OVERALL EVEN (-0.40)] (ii) Sporting Post (RSA) Clai: Race 2 *DOLLAR BAY/WON F/c 4/10, R3 CHAISE THE TIGER EW/LOST F/c 7/2, R4 KING JAMES/WON F/c 7/2, R7 *STAR OF LIBERTY/NO RUN EW F/c 5/2, R8 *CARRIBEAN MOON/NO RUN F/c 12/10 - Bets: Win/EW/*Doubles/EWTreble [OVERALL EVEN (+0.36)]
Bets (both sections): Assortment of small/miniscule Win, and/or Place/Show, and/or the occasional EW