Diary for Apr 17 2007
Bets on Tue Apr 17 2007
OUTCOME: BASIC PLAN: +2 pts [within OVERALL -9]
PROSPECTS (as they seemed over-night):
Short-list of 1: BEAU NASH/2ND (Row 3). My stats, here, are only 50/50 for the win. It's a moot point whether the chosen Row ought instead to be Place Only I but, located in 3, it pairs up for Doubles in the Combos & adds an extra Place Only component to the mix. Not much risked, though. I hope for a small profit. Mistakes cost me that, I'm afraid.
Apart from the difficulty of settling on further suitable qualifiers, I found it hard, also, to make peripheral selections. It's a Laura Luck day, I would say.
Summary Day 017 C/F to April 18 (Month01Wk3.4 Phase07ADay18) E&OE - BASIC PLAN Phase 07A (wef 01/04/07) Deficit = -483 ... within OVERALL Deficit -503 @ ave. of -c30/day O/A = 10 win days so far this month, mainly small
Combo I (Press Corps) Bets: 123 Combo (Double today, Win & EW), Xtra Combo on Place Only I inclusions, Half Total Combo (an enhancement of the existing Doubles today), and Xtra/s BASIC PLAN +1
See below re Combo II (Naps Table) [No Combo III (Miscellaneous tips) today]
Rows 1 & 2 - No qualifier
Bets (Row 2): Short-List (Place Only) 'Combo,' 2nd rung Token Remedial Supplementary on BEAU NASH/2nd, Supplementary Mop Ups on Place Only I inclusions, Mistake: Omitted to get my Place Only bet on Beau Nash matched, then chanced an Ad Hoc Remedial Supplementary on it instead, in running [-6], Discrepancy [Nil] [OVERALL -7]
Row 3
240 Exet: BEAU NASH/2nd F/c Evs Min value odds, according to my Odds Configuration stat, + 20% = 2.23 New odds stat stakes reducer (General) x 0.96 Old odds stat stakes enhancer x 1.23
300 Warw: SPANISH ACE/WON F/c 6/4 By Infiltration on Support (2xNPs,2xNBs) - Bets: Token Basic Place Only + Mop Up BASIC PLAN +1
Place Only I - On Row 3 (except Spanish Ace) and
Exet: HEARTHSTEAD WINGS/2ND F/c 6/4 - Bets: Token Basic BASIC PLAN EVEN [+0.05]
Place Only II
Nott: FAST FEET/NO RUN F/c 10/11, TRANSCEND/2ND F/c 13/8 - Bets: Basic [OVERALL EVEN (+0.09)]
Combo II - Half Total Combo + Xtra BASIC PLAN EVEN [+0.49]
Naps I & II - No selection
A) Miscellaneous Tips:
No Combo III today [OVERALL N/A]
(i) No Main tip [Bets (usually against advice) split small/miniscule Win + mainly Place Only @ a Total of 1 1/2 (for large field) or 2 1/2 pts (small field) i.e. 5,6 & 8/12 incl. runners deemed "Small", 7 and more than 12 deemed "Large" OVERALL N/A] (ii) RP International Zone: 713 Phil(USA) QUEEN MO F/c 5/1/Late result - see tomorrow [OVERALL N/A] (iii) Place Only: Aust/Free "Bet4Place" tips: 3 bets overnight: 2PL(incl. 2W)1L Bets: Small Show [OVERALL +1]; (iv) Miscellaneous cards (incl. Spotlight/Free Pricewise/on F/c Odds): Tram(IR): 650 JOYS ISLAND F/c 5/4/WON yesterday, FAYR STAR/3RD yesterday F/c 3/1 [OVERALL EVEN (+0.11)]
B) Processed:
(i) Endorsements over obstacles (Good words), including my dedicated stats for this bet category at Exet: HEARTHSTEAD WINGS (92W66L) - Bets: Basic Place Only, Added: Win bet [OVERALL -5] (ii) RP Selection Boxes: SPANISH ACE/Won F/c 6/4 [OVERALL EVEN (+0.05)] (ii) Sporting Post (RSA) Keni: Race 3 M'AS TU VU F/c 6/1, R4 BLACK EYES F/c 22/10, R5 SELENA'S GIRL F/c 2/1, R7 LA CHENE F/c 4/1, R8 KEY LARGO F/c 15/10 Meeting off - Bets: all EW (Place Only not avail.) [OVERALL N/A]
Bets (both sections): Mix of small/miniscule Win, and/or Place/Show, and/or the occasional EW