Diary for Apr 12 2007
Bets on Thu Apr 12 2007
OUTCOME: BASIC PLAN: -7 pts [within OVERALL -11]
PROSPECTS (as they seemed over-night):
Short-list of 3: SILVER GUEST/2ND (Row 2), MIGHTY MAN/WON & LIBERATE/LOST (Place Ony I). Good stats all round. I've Infiltrated the latter two into Row 3. Little at stake.
Summary Day 012 C/F to April 13 (Month01Wk2.6 Phase07ADay13) E&OE - BASIC PLAN Phase 07A (wef 01/04/07) Deficit = -562 ... within OVERALL Deficit -615 @ ave. of -c51/day
Combo I (Press Corps) Bets: 123 Combo, Xtra Combo on Place Only I inclusions, 3/4 Total Combo + Xtras BASIC PLAN -4 See below re Combo II (Naps Table) & Combo III (Miscellaneous tips)
Row 1 - No qualifier
Row 2
210 Leic. SILVER GUEST/2nd F/c 4/6 Min value Odds according to my Odds Configuration stat + 20% = 1.98 New odds stat stakes enhancer (Row 2) x 1.39 Old odds stat stakes enhancer x 1.73 - Bets: Token Basic + Token FS (+ Mop Up), Token Basic Place Only, 2-Row Doubs/Trebs (today tiny enhancements of the Basic bet), Supplementary Mop Ups on Place Only I inclusions, Mistake/s [Minor], Discrepancy [+0.28] BASIC PLAN -1 [plus OVERALL EVEN (+0.13)]
Row 3
Aint: MIGHTY MAN/Won F/c 15/8 By Infiltration on Support (3xNaps,2xNBs) - LIBERATE/Lost F/c 13/8 By Infiltration (2xNaps,1xNB) - Bets: Basic Place Only BASIC PLAN EVEN [-0.16]
Place Only I
MIGHTY MAN/Won F/c 15/8 Min val odds + 20% = 1.20 to Place, New odds stat stakes enhancer (General) x 1.85 Old odds stat stakes enhancer x 1.23 - but I reverse these stats for stakes adjustment on non-qualifiers to Rows 1-3 - LIBERATE/Lost F/c 13/8 Min val odds + 20% = 1.25 to Place, New odds stat stakes enhancer (General) x 1.66 Old stat stakes enhancer x 1.23 - Bets: Basic BASIC PLAN EVEN [+0.19]
Place Only II
Aint: INGLIS DREVER/LOST F/c 5/2 KATCHIT/WON F/c 11/8 TIDAL BAY/WON F/c 9/4 - Bets: Basic [OVERALL -1]
Combo II (Naps Table) - 1/4 Total Combo + Xtra BASIC PLAN -1
Naps I
SILVER GUEST/2nd - Bets: Token Basic + Mop Up, Token Basic Place Only, 'Double' (an enhancement of the Basic bet), 2-Row Double (with Row 1 when possible, today a further enhancement of the Basic bet) BASIC PLAN -2
Naps II - No selection
A) Miscellaneous Tips:
No Combo III [OVERALL EVEN]
(i) Main tips to hand were EW HASTY PRINCE/LOST F/c 6/1 & Win WINS NOW/2ND F/c 7/2 - Bets (against advice) split small/miniscule Win + mainly Place Only @ a Total, respectively, of 1 1/2 (for large field) & 2 1/2 pts (small field) i.e. 5,6 & 8/12 incl. runners deemed "Small", 7 and more than 12 deemed "Large;" [OVERALL EVEN (+0.41)] (ii) RP International Zone: Keen(USA) CARRIAGE TRAIL/WON F/c 2/1 yesterday; Vaal(RSA) TAMARA'S STAR/2ND F/c 5/2; 945 Keen(USA) FOREVER TOGETHER F/c 3/1/Late result - see tomorrow [OVERALL EVEN (+0.03)] (iii) Place Only: Aust/Free "Bet4Place" tips: Overnight: 1W2PL1L (Small Place Only bets) [OVERALL +1]; (iv) Miscellaneous cards (Spotlight/Free Pricewise/on F/c Odds): Tipp(IR) 615 CLOPF/WON F/c 2/1; Aint: HASTY PRINCE/Lost MARSHALL HALL/2ND TRITONIX/LOST [OVERALL EVEN (-0.05)]
B) Processed (i.e., resulting from some work on my part):
(i) Endorsements over obstacles (Good words), including my dedicated stats for this bet category at Aint: No selection [OVERALL EVEN] (ii) RP Selection Boxes: No selection [OVERALL EVEN] 2(ii) Sporting Post Vaal(RSA): 4W3PL1L (Tiny Win bets, except 1 x EW) [OVERALL EVEN (-0.04)]
Bets (both sections): Mix of small/miniscule Win, and/or Place/Show, and/or the occasional EW