Diary for Apr 11 2007
Bets on Wed Apr 11 2007
OUTCOME: BASIC PLAN: +1 pts [within OVERALL +1]
PROSPECTS (as they seemed over-night):
Short-list of 1: BEAU SUPREME/WON (Place Ony I). 50/50-ish for the win in 2 of my stats, plus a good-ish Majority stat. I Infiltrated it into Row 3. Little at stake.
Summary Day 010 C/F to April 12 (Month01Wk2.5 Phase07ADay12) E&OE - BASIC PLAN Phase 07A (wef 01/04/07) Deficit = -555 ... within OVERALL Deficit -604 @ ave. of -c55/day
Combo I (Press Corps) Bets: 123 Combo (Tiny Win bet today), Xtra Combo on Place Only I inclusions (EWDouble today) + LateXtra, 1/2 Total Combo + Xtra BASIC PLAN +1 See below re Combo II (Naps Table) & Combo III (Miscellaneous tips)
Rows 1&2 - No qualifier
Supplementary Bets (Row 2): Supplementary Mop Ups on Place Only I inclusions, Tiny Ad Hoc Supplementaries on PHAR BLEU/WON, Added: CHATSHOW/LOST/SPANISH ACE/WON, Mistake/s [Nil], Discrepancy [-0.44] [OVERALL EVEN (-0.02)]
Row 3
420 Exet. BEAU SUPREME/Won F/c Evs By Infiltration on Support (2xNaps) - Bet: Basic Place Only BASIC PLAN EVEN [+0.06]
Place Only I
330 Bath. BINOCULAR/3RD; Exet: BEAU SUPREME/Won F/c Evs [Min val odds according to my Odds Configuration stat + 20% = 1.35 to Place, New odds stat stakes reducer (General) x 0.96 Old odds stat stakes enhancer x 1.28 - but I reverse these stats on non-qualifiers to Rows 1-3] - Bets: Basic BASIC PLAN EVEN [+0.29]
Place Only II
Exet: SMART TIGER/WON, PHAR BLEU/Won (for the Xtra Combo), LOWLANDER/LOST - Bets: Basic [OVERALL +1]
Combo II (Naps Table) - 1/2 Total Combo + Xtra BASIC PLAN EVEN [+0.06]
Naps I - No selection BASIC PLAN EVEN
Naps II
Bath: BINOCULAR/3rd (Double stake) - Bet: Tiny Place Only BASIC PLAN EVEN [+0.03]
Miscellaneous Tips:
No Combo III [OVERALL EVEN]
1(i) No Main tip [Bets (usually against advice) split small/miniscule Win + mainly Place Only @ a Total of 1, 1 1/2 or 2 1/2 pts for a standard (i.e., as advised) or large/small field as appropriate (5,6 & 8/12 incl. runners deemed "Small", 7 and more than 12 deemed "large")] 1(ii) RP International Zone: 205 Scot(RSA) GREAT SOVEREIGN/LOST, 845 Keen(USA) CARRIAGE TRAIL F/c 2/1/Late result - see tomorrow; 1(iii) Place Only: Aust/Free "Bet4Place" tips: Overnight: 1W3PL2L (Small Place Only bets that succeeded); 1(iv) Miscellaneous cards (Spotlight/Free Pricewise/on F/c Odds): Scot(RSA) Race 2 FINE FABERGE/LOST, R3 WHAT ME WORRY/LOST, R4 OVERLORD/2ND, R5 MILANO/GREAT SOVEREIGN/BOTH LOST, R7 IRAQUIANO/3RD F/c Evs, R8 WINNING BID/2ND F/c Evs Disappointing [Main+Zone+Place+Cards OVERALL +2]
Processed (i.e., subject to work on my part):
2(i) Endorsements over obstacles (Good words), including my dedicated stats for this bet category at Exet: PHAR BLEU/Won F/c 1/3;at Here: MR EX/LOST F/c 3/1 THENFORD STAR/LOST F/c 5/2; 2(ii) RP Selection Boxes: Exet: SHARE MY DREAM/LOST; 2(ii) Sporting Post RSA: No data avail. today
Bets (both sections): Mix of small/miniscule Win, and/or Place/Show, and/or the occasional EW [Endorsements+Boxes+RSA OVERALL -2]