Diary for Apr 08 2007
Bets on Sun Apr 08 2007 Sunday mode applied
OUTCOME: BASIC PLAN: -28 pts [within OVERALL -57]
PROSPECTS (as they seemed over-night):
3 for the short-list: KING'S REVENGE/WON & OLD ETONIAN/LOST (Row 1), POLINAMIX/WON (Place Only II). I considered Infiltrating Shot Gun/Lost into Row 3 on Support but my stats for that race are not wholly good and there's Opposition by a Nap. Apart from bets (selectively as regards bet-types) on the above, I have ended up with just a few peripherals. Another "Laura Luck" day, I'd say.
Note: As the job I started with my blog diary for 2006/7 is but mid-way towards some sort of completion, I decided to carry on with a diary into 2007/8.
Summary Day 008 C/F to April 09 (Month01Wk2.2 Phase07ADay09) E&OE - BASIC PLAN Phase 07A (wef 01/04/07) Deficit = -561 ... within OVERALL Deficit -613 @ ave. of -c77/day (much too much at this time)
Combo I (Press Corps) Bets: 123 Combo, 1/2 share of Total Combo & Xtra Combo on Place Only I inclusions (Combined Sequential Double today) BASIC PLAN -6 See below for Combo II (Naps Table) & (new) Combo III (Other tips)
Row 1
310 Towc. KING'S REVENGE/Won F/c 1/6 Min value odds according to my Odds Configuration stat + 20% = 1.34 New odds stat stakes enhancer (Row 1) x 3.73 Old Sundays stat stakes enhancer x 4.43
420 Muss. OLD ETONIAN/Lost F/c 2/5 New odds stat stakes enhancer (Row 1) x 2.13 Old Sundays stat stakes enhancer x 2.50 (but based on only 7 results: 7W2L)
Bets: Token Star on Old Etonian + Mop Up, 2-Row Double (with Naps I), 2-Row DoubsTrebs (with Row 2 when possible, today part of the Combined Seq. Double, Basic Place Only (King's Revenge not matched & Old Etonian omitted, both in error) BASIC PLAN -12
Row 2 - No qualifier
Supplementary Bets (Row2): Short-List (Place Only) 'Combo' Supplementary Mop Ups on Place Only I inclusions, Mistakes: Balls ups today. I failed to get a winning Place bet matched on King's Revenge and forgot to apply Sunday Mode on Old Etonian bets [Not calculated], Discrepancy [not traced: -5] [OVERALL -27]
Row 3 - No qualifier
Place Only I - On Row 1
Bets: Basic (on Old Etonian only in error) BASIC PLAN -2
Place Only II
Plum: POLINAMIX/Won [F/c 8/11 Min val odds + 20% = 1.33 to Place, New odds stat stakes enhancer (General) x 1.86 (reverse adjustment for odds applied), Old Sunday stat stakes reducer x 0.96 (ditto)], BACK IN BUSINESS/2ND/LOOSE MORALS/LOST - Bets: Basic [OVERALL -1]
Combo II (Naps Table) Bets: 1/2 share of Total Combo BASIC PLAN -2
Naps I
KING'S REVENGE/Won & (Double stake) OLD ETONIAN/Lost - Bets: Basic + Mop Ups, Seq. Double, 2-Row Seq. Double (with Row 1) BASIC PLAN -6
Naps II - No selection
Tips
Combo III Other tips No bet [OVERALL N/A]
1(i) No Main tip [Bets (against advice): Split of tiny Win + (mainly) Place Only, to grand total of 1, 1 1/2 or 2 1/2 pts for small/large field as relevant (5,6 & 8/12 incl. runners = Small)]; 1(ii) RP International Zone: 945 Keen(USA) SILVER EXPRESS F/c 6/1/LOST yesterday; 1(iii) Miscellaneous cards (Spotlight/Free Pricewise): No selection; 1(iv) Free "Bet4Place" tips (Aust): Cowr(NSW): PLAY OF LIGHT/WON F/c 7/4 Staw(Vic): FERERONOCHE/LOST - no bet in error F/c 11/1 Added: Pend(SA/WA) BRAD STAR/WON F/c 5/2 [OVERALL EVEN (+0.15)]
2(i) Endorsements over obstacles (Good words), including my dedicated stats for this bet category - at Towc: KING'S REVENGE/Won - no match in error (31W27L) - Bets: Basic Place Only (except Win Only races); 2(ii) RP Selection Boxes: No selection. 2(iii) Sporting Post RSA: perhaps Race 5 Newm: FLINTLOCK/NO RUN F/c 6/1, Race 6 REGAL RUNNER/LOST F/c 5/1 - Bets: Small/miniscule Win, and/or Place/Show, and/or the occasional EW [OVERALL EVEN (-0.05)]