Diary for Apr 07 2007
Bets on Sat Apr 07 2007
OUTCOME: BASIC PLAN: +0 pts [within OVERALL +2]
PROSPECTS (as they seemed over-night):
One for the short-list: THREE MIRRORS/3RD (Place Only I). I considered Infiltrating Tybalt/2nd into Row 3 but my stats for the race are not good and it's Opposed by one of my select Napsters/won. I considered Gower/Lost for Naps II as it is Napped by Alan Keyte, who has been in great form lately, but there is too much Opposition for my liking. So I have ended up with just a few peripheral bets. A "Laura Luck" day.
Note: As the job I started with my blog diary for 2006/7 is but mid-way towards some sort of completion, I decided to carry on with a diary into 2007/8.
Summary Day 007 C/F to April 08 (Day08 Month01Wk2.1 Phase07ADay08) E&OE - BASIC PLAN Phase 07A (wef 01/04/07) Deficit = -533 ... within OVERALL Deficit -556 @ ave. of -c79/day (too much at this time)
Combo I (Press Corps) Bets: Tiny Xtra Combo on Place Only I inclusions BASIC PLAN EVEN [-0.08] See below for Combo II (Naps Table) & (new) Combo III (Other tips)
Rows 1-3 - No qualifier
Supplementary Bets (Row2): Short-List (Place Only) 'Combo,' Supplementary Mop Ups on Place Only I inclusions, Ad hoc Flat Token Remedial Supplementary (in running) on THREE MIRRORS/3rd, Mistake: I failed to match my intended Place Only bet on Three Mirrors [Nil], Discrepancy [Nil] [OVERALL -2]
Place Only I
Carl: RAYSHAN/WON & THREE MIRRORS/3rd [F/c 13/8 Min value odds, according to my Odds Configuration stat, + 20% = 1.45 to Place New odds stat stakes enhancer (General) x 1.20 Old stat stakes enhancer x 1.28 (but, as it's a non-qualifier for Rows 1-3, I reverse the odds stats for stakes adjustment which, in this case, computes a marginally lower stake - this is because the Majority stat is quite good in its non-reversed state: 82W64L)] - Bets: Basic (not on Three Mirrors in error) BASIC PLAN EVEN [+0.12]
Place Only II - KempA: TYBALT/2ND - Bet: Basic [OVERALL +1]
Combo II (Naps Table) Bets: Total Combo (Tiny Win bet today) BASIC PLAN EVEN [-0.24]
Naps I - No selection
Naps II - THREE MIRRORS/3rd - Bets: Basic Place Only - no bet in error BASIC PLAN EVEN
Tips
(New) Combo III O(ther) tips [OVERALL EVEN (-0.18)]
1(i) Main tip to hand is TABADUL/LOST F/c 4/1 Might win but I was unable to short-list myself due to the level of Opposition despite the strong level of Support. (Experts vs. experts cancel such runners out, in my book.) I'm happy to go for a Place mainly. - Bets (against advice): Split of tiny Win + (mainly) Place Only, to grand total of 1 1/2 pts for large field; 1(ii) RP International Zone: 100 Clai(RSA) JEWEL OF JWANENG/WON F/c 7/2; 945 Keen(USA) SILVER EXPRESS F/c 6/1/Late result - see tomorrow; 1(iii) Miscellaneous cards (Spotlight/Free Pricewise): 320 KempA: FUTUN/LOST F/c 12/1/CELTIC SPIRIT/LOST(4TH) F/c 11/1; 1(iv) (New) Free "Bet4Place" tips (Aust): 0651am Newc(NSW) OFF THE RICHTER/WON 0755am Gold(Quee) KAINDARA GOLD/LOST [OVERALL -2]
2(i) Endorsements over obstacles (Good words), including my dedicated stats for this bet category - at Carl: RAYSHAN/WON (21W23L) THREE MIRRORS (42W50L) Added: HIGH LIFE/WON/IN THE LEAD/2ND (42W50L) - Bets: Basic Place Only (except Win Only races); 2(ii) RP Selection Boxes: Hayd. LOULOU NIVERNAIS/2ND; KempA. GALIENT/LOST; 2(iii) Sporting Post RSA: Clai Race 1 MODERN ODYSSEY/2ND F/c 2/1, Race 2 CAPTAIN FABRE/WON F/c 6/10, Race 3 MASKED WONDER/WON F/c 15/10, Race 10 CALANDER GIRL/2ND F/c 5/2; Durb: 255 CHIVAS/2ND F/c 4/1 Bets: Small/miniscule Win, and/or Place/Show, and/or the occasional EW [OVERALL +4]