Diary for Apr 02 2007
OUTCOME: BASIC PLAN: -6 pts [within OVERALL: +2 ]
PROSPECTS (as they seemed over-night):
I lost over 300 points yesterday but this has no bearing at all on my lack of short-list today! My Odds stats were just not good enough on the two I pencilled in at first: Nero's Return and Dan Tucker. They do figure, however, respectively via Naps II and, by Infiltration, Row 3.
Note: As the job I started with my blog diary for 2006/7 is but mid-way towards completion, I decided to carry on with a diary blog for 2007/8.
Summary Day 002 C/F to April 03 (Day03 Month01 Wk1.3 Phase07ADay03) E&OE - BASIC PLAN Phase 07A (wef 01/04/07) Deficit = -307 ... within OVERALL Deficit -325
Combo I (Press Corps) Bets: 123 Combo (Win single x 2 today), Xtra Combo on Place Only I inclusions + LateXtra, 1/4 share of Total Combo + Xtra BASIC PLAN +2
See below for Combo II (Naps Table)
Rows 1 & 2 - No qualifier
Bets: Ad hoc Supplementary Mop Ups on Place Only I inclusions, Added: Ad hoc Place Only Supplementary on King After/WON (to compensate for the mistake that follows): Mistake: Failed to get matched a Place bet on Sohraab/2ND [Nil], Discrepancy [Nil] [OVERALL +4]
Row 3
400 Sout. DAN TUCKER/WON F/c 6/4 by Infiltration on Support (3xNaps, but NBx1 Opposed) - Bets: Mop Up BASIC PLAN EVEN [+0.17]
Place Only I - On Row 3 and
Kels: NOIR ET VERT/WON F/c 5/4; LingA: KING AFTER/Won F/c 6/4; Sout: NERO'S RETURN/2ND F/c 6/4 - Bets: Basic BASIC PLAN +1
Place Only II
Kels: YOUNG ALBERT/WON F/c 2/1/SMART STREET/2ND F/c 7/2 - JOE BLAKE/3RD F/c 15/8 - Bet: Basic [OVERALL +3]
Combo II (Naps Table) Bets: 3/4 share of Total Combo + Xtra BASIC PLAN -2
Naps I
310 LingA: SOHRAAB/2nd F/c 13/8 - Bets: Basic, Double (enhancement of the Basic bet today), 2-Row Double (with Row 1 when possible, today a further enhancement of the Basic bet), Basic Place Only BASIC PLAN -8
Naps II
NERO'S RETURN/2nd & DAN TUCKER/Won - Bets: Mop Ups BASIC PLAN EVEN [+0.44]
Tips
1) No Main tip [Bets (against advice): Split of small Win + (mainly) Place Only, to grand total of 8 or 11 pts for 'large/small' field OVERALL N/A]
2) Endorsements over obstacles (Good words), including my dedicated stats for this bet category, at Kels: GRANOSKI GALA/NO RUN (10W10L) JOE BLAKE/3rd (34W39L) - Bets: Basic Place Only [OVERALL +1]
3) Other tips/selections for fun (at negligible risk): (a) International Zone: Sant(USA) COCO BELLE/LOST yesterday More not received
(b) Miscellaneous cards: None
(c) Selection Boxes (i) BRITAIN: DAN TUCKER/Won F/c 6/4/INTENSIFIER/LOST F/c 10/1; (ii) RSA: (Failed to find a bookie to take these bets): Race 2 REAL LADY/WON F/c 3/1, Race 3 SMASHING BOY/3RD F/c 2/1, Race 5 HUGH TOWN/WON F/c 6/10 Race 9 MOUNTIE/LOST F/c 28/10
(d) Spotlight: 350 Sain(Fr) TURTLE BOWL/2ND
Bets: Small/miniscule Win, and/or Place/Show, or instead, the occasional EW [OVERALL +1]