The Totopoly Kid

Results of bets on Mon Sep 11 2006
Day162Month6Week2.4 (Phase 06B Day42)

Financial Summary E&OE:-

C/F to Sep Week 2.5 (Day163 Phase B - Day 43):

OVERALL Phase 06B only (wef 01/08/06) deficit = -349 points @ an average of 

-c8/day…..including BASIC PLAN (Phase 06B) deficit = -114 points @ an average of

-c3/day

Gain-days in Phase 06B:In Aug 15 Overall (14 Basic Plan) from 31 bet-days; in Sep 5 (6) in Sep.

PLUS
OVERALL Phase 06A only (01/04/06 to 31/7/06) deficit frozen (for comparison purposes) @ -2656 points ... including BASIC PLAN @ -366 points
Gain-days in Phase 06A:
In Apr 11 Overall from 29 bet-days [-957]; May 15 from 31 [-174]; Jun 15 from 30 [+408]; Jul 15 from 31 [-1938]

Rows 1

410 Redc. MISS THAILAND F/c 1/2/2NDMin value odds according to my ‘odds config’ stat + 20% = 1.60 New odds stat stakes enhancer (Row 1) x 1.65 Old stat stakes enhancer x 1.88

Bets: Basic (Lower level) + Mop Up, Star (Lower level) + Mop Up, Sequential 2-Row Double (with Naps I), 2-Row Treble (with Row 2 but today an enhancement of the Basic bet as there is no other qualifier), Place Only, Part-Sequential 123 Combo, Part-sequential Total Combo, Xtra Combo, LateXtra/1 &/2 Combos     BASIC PLAN -66

Row 2 – No qualifier

Supplementary: Short-List Combo, Xtra S/L/1 & /2 Combos OVERALL -2

Row 3

210 Redc. EMARRA F/c 4/5/2ND Min value odds 2.93 New odds stat stakes enhancer x 1.35 Old stat stakes enhancer x 1.30

210 Redc. EMARRA/2nd – see above Added due to its Napped support (to enhance the stakes of the multiple bets)

540 Redc. GREEN COAST (Deb) F/c 4/11/WON Min value odds = 1.60 New odds stat stakes enhancer x 1.35 Old stat stakes reducer x 0.70

Bets: Place Only, 123 Combo, Total Combos, Xtra Combo, LateXtra/1 & 2 Combos     BASIC PLAN -5

Naps I

Redc: EMAARA (Triple stake)/2nd & MISS THAILAND/2nd – see above

Bets: Basic, Double, Sequential 2-Row Double (with Row 1), Total Combo     BASIC PLAN -11

Naps II

Folk: IRISH WOLF F/c 13/8/WON

Bet: Total Combo     BASIC PLAN -1

Place Only I on Rows 1 & 3

Bets: Basic, Xtra Combo, Late Xtra/1 Combo     BASIC PLAN EVEN [+0.26]

Place Only II

Redc: CABOURG

Wolv: MR LOIRE/3RD

Bets: Basic bet     BASIC PLAN +2

Fancies

Redc: EMEFDREAM (Place Only)/LOST – ELKHORN (Win)/WON

Bet: Tiny bets     OVERALL EVEN [+0.08]

My Lay bets – None

Tips

Late result from yesterday: SHERMANESQUE 1055 Arli(USA)/NON RUN

WAR ‘N HONOR 800 Dela(USA) F/c 4/1/Late result – see tomorrow

Bets:Tiny Win      [OVERALL N/A]

Good word on the following in no particular order: BEL CANTOR/LOST, CAJ (EW)/LOST – but none passes my own qualifying criteria, so no bets for me (though I expect they are good value)

The Lay tip to hand is TARANAKI 320 Folk./3RD

Bet: Target liability=21 [OVERALL +6]

PROSPECTS

Dependence today on MISS THAILAND/2nd & the usual multiples plus any major tip that comes through. On MISS THAILAND my stats are very encouraging for the win & I have managed to get a value bet (according to my stats). It’s a fingers crossed day for me within Delta Quadrant betting conditions. I should have crossed my toes as well

OVERALL -115 (including BASIC PLAN -116)

Results of bets on Sun Sep 10 2006
Day161Month6Week2.3S (Sunday Mode not applied except on major Non-Tip bets if any)  Phase 06B Day41

Financial Summary E&OE:-

C/F to Sep Week 2.4 (Day162 Phase B - Day 42):

OVERALL Phase 06B only (wef 01/08/06) deficit = -234 points @ an average of 

-c6/day…..including BASIC PLAN (Phase 06B) surplus = +4 points @ an average of

-c0/day

Gain-days in Phase 06B:In Aug 15 Overall (14 Basic Plan) from 31 bet-days; in Sep 5 (6) in Sep.

PLUS
OVERALL Phase 06A only (01/04/06 to 31/7/06) deficit frozen (for comparison purposes) @ -2656 points ... including BASIC PLAN @ -366 points
Gain-days in Phase 06A:
In Apr 11 Overall from 29 bet-days [-957]; May 15 from 31 [-174]; Jun 15 from 30 [+408]; Jul 15 from 31 [-1938]

Rows 1 & 2 – No qualifier

Supplementary: Short-List Combo     OVERALL EVEN [+0.22]

Row 3

315 Good. COUNTERPUNCH F/c 5/4/WON Min value odds according to my ‘odds config’ stat + 20% = 2.77 New odds stat stakes reducer x 0.94 Old stat stakes adjuster x zero

550 Stra. SHIWAWA F/c 4/5/WON Min value odds = 2.12 New odds stat stakes enhancer x 1.35 Old stat stakes reducer x 0.87

Bets: Place Only, 123 Combo, Total Combo, Xtra Combo     BASIC PLAN EVEN [+0.46]

Naps I – No qualifier

Naps II

Kemp:ELUSIVE FLASH/2ND – SPECIAL LAD/LOST

Stra: BOREHILL JOKER/2ND – SHIWAWA/Won

Bet: Total Combo     BASIC PLAN -1

Place Only I on Row 3

Bets: Basic, Xtra Combo     BASIC PLAN EVEN [+0.24]

Place Only II

Kemp: ELUSIVE FLASH/2nd – MATARAM/WON

Bets: Basic bet     BASIC PLAN EVEN [+0.43]

Fancies

BIENHEUREUX/2ND

Bet: Tiny Place Only     OVERALL EVEN [=0.13]

My Lay bets – None

Tips

Late result from yesterday: SOOTHSAY 1025 Arli(USA)/LOST

SHERMANESQUE 1055 Arli(USA)/ Late result – see tomorrow

SALUTINO 420 Long/2ND

Bets:Tiny Win      [OVERALL EVEN (-0.37)]

The Win tip today is MUMBLES HEAD 230 Stra/WON

Bet: Small win, the balance Place Only to total of 30 points     [OVERALL +20]

Good word on the following in no particular order: MONTEVIDEO/2^ND no bet, PRIDE/LOST (3rd) – no bet, FRANKLIN GARDENS/LOST no bet– but none passes my own qualifying criteria, so no bets for me (though I expect they are good value)

Bet: Target liability 48 Capped @ 24 [OVERALL ]

Good word for Laying HURRICANE RUN/2^ND – no bet - but it has too much support for the win for me, so no bet

PROSPECTS

Dependence today on the multiples and any major tip. If no major tip, my chances are even-ish for profit or loss.

I’m tempted to major on SHIWAWA/Won but it is a bumper & my stats say only somewhat better than 50/50 for the win. So I am settling for the multiples to do some good. That’s how it goes whilst I’m in ‘The Delta Quadrant.’

OVERALL +20 (including BASIC PLAN EVEN [+0.46 - which I’m calling a “Gainday” in the Financial Summary])

Results of bets on Sat Sep 9 2006
Day160Month6Week2.2
Phase 06B Day40

Financial Summary E&OE:-

C/F to Sep Week 2.3S (Day161 Phase B - Day 41):

OVERALL Phase 06B only (wef 01/08/06) deficit = -254 points @ an average of  

-c6/day…..including BASIC PLAN (Phase 06B) surplus = +4 points @ an average of

-c0/day

Gain-days in Phase 06B:In Aug 15 Overall (14 Basic Plan) from 31 bet-days; in Sep 4 (5) in Sep.

PLUS
OVERALL Phase 06A only (01/04/06 to 31/7/06) deficit frozen (for comparison purposes) @ -2656 points ... including BASIC PLAN @ -366 points
Gain-days in Phase 06A:
In Apr 11 Overall from 29 bet-days [-957]; May 15 from 31 [-174]; Jun 15 from 30 [+408]; Jul 15 from 31 [-1938]

Row 1 – No qualifier

Row 2

310 York. IFFRAAJ F/c 8/11/WON Min value odds according to my ‘odds config’ stat + 20% = 2.13 New odds stat stakes enhancer x 1.05 Old stat stakes enhancer x 1.28

Bets: Basic, 2-Row Treble (an enhancement of the Basic bet as there is no other qualifier), Place Only, 123 Combo (a further enhancement of the Basic bet), Total Combo, Xtra Combo, Short-List Combo (a further enhancement of the Basic bet)      The Place Only bet was not matched, unfortunately     BASIC PLAN +2 and OVERALL EVEN [+0.21]

Row 3 – No qualifier

Naps I

IFFRAAJ/Won – see above

Bets: Basic, Total Combo     BASIC PLAN EVEN [+0.28]

Naps II
345 York. SIXTIES ICON F/c 11/8/WON (Double stake)

440 Ches. RAVI RIVER F/c 9/4/LOST

Bet: Total Combo     BASIC PLAN EVEN [-0.35]

Place Only I on Row 2 and

Ches: HANDSOME CROSS/2ND

Good: MINOS/WON

Bets: Basic, Xtra Combo After Handsome Cross, I should have done a LateXtra/1 Combo      BASIC PLAN EVEN [+0.27]

Place Only II

York: THOUSAND WORDS./LOST

Bets: Basic bet     BASIC PLAN EVEN [-0.32]

Fancies

Bath: BABCARY/2^ND

Good run for the money!

Bet: Tiny (4321) win     OVERALL EVEN [-0.10]

My Lay bets – None

Tips

Late result from yesterday: ROYAL LEAH Arli(USA)/WON

SOOTHSAY 1025 Arli(USA)/Late result – see tomorrow

Bets:Tiny Win      [OVERALL EVEN (+0.33)]

The Win tip today is COMPTON’S ELEVEN 220 Good./LOST

Bet: Small win, the balance Place Only to total of 30 points Lacked racing room, I thought. Perhaps a  shade unlucky not to be placed     [OVERALL -30]

Good word on the following in no particular order: TAX FREE/WON, INDIAN MAIDEN/LOST, PIVOTAL PRINCESS/LOST, RED ROCKS/3RD, ECHO OF LIGHT/WON, TABADUL/LOST – but none passes my own qualifying criteria, so no bets for me (though I expect they are good value)

Lay tip to hand PLANE PAINTER F/c 11/4/HRS WON I’d been a little uneasy about this one - its support was slightly too great for my comfort - but I decided in the end to risk it

Bet: Target liability 48 Capped @ 24 Thank goodness I “capped”     [OVERALL -24]

Good word for Laying ENGLISH BALLET/2ND but it has too much support for the win for me, so no bet

PROSPECTS

Dependence today on the multiples and any major tip(s).  If PLANE PAINTER/Hrs won wins, that will hurt. Otherwise my chances are even-ish for profit or loss.

I’m tempted to major on IFFRAAJ/Won but my stats say only a bit better than 50/50 for the win. So I am settling for a small single bet in Row 2. The win was narrow, so I was right to be cautious That’s how it goes whilst I’m in ‘The Delta Quadrant.’ Tips did for me today, sadly, as too often they do. Also, a couple of errors of mine  made the BASIC PLAN profit half what  it should have been     OVERALL -51 (including BASIC PLAN +2)

Results of bets on Fri Sep 8 2006
Day159Month6Week2.1
Phase 06B Day39

Financial Summary E&OE:-

C/F to Sep Week 2.2 (Phase A - Day160 Phase B - Day 40):

OVERALL Phase 06B only (wef 01/08/06) deficit = -203 points @ an average of 

-c5/day ...     including BASIC PLAN Phase 06B surplus = +2 points @ an average of

-c0/day

Gain-days in Phase 06B:In Aug 15 Overall (14 Basic Plan) from 31 bet-days; in Sep 4 (4) in Sep.

PLUS
OVERALL Phase 06A only (01/04/06 to 31/7/06) deficit frozen (for comparison purposes) @ -2656 points ... including BASIC PLAN @ -366 points
Gain-days in Phase 06A:
In Apr 11 Overall from 29 bet-days [-957]; May 15 from 31 [-174]; Jun 15 from 30 [+408]; Jul 15 from 31 [-1938]

Rows 1 & 2 – No qualifier

Supplementary (mistakes): Too much to win as part of Sequential Double, RAICHU/LOST & AMICELLI/WON, and forgot not to double stake on Place Only bet on RAICHU/Lost     OVERALL -6

Row 3

325 Bang. RAICHU F/c 1/2/Lost Min value odds according to my ‘odds config’ stat + 20% = 1.60 New odds stat stakes enhancer x 1.32 Old stat stakes reducer x 0.70 Halve stakes as the race is over obstacles

435 Bang. AMICELLI F/c 8/11/Won Min val odds = 2.17 New odds stat stakes reducer x 0.94 Old stat stakes enhancer x 1.88 Halve stakes as over obstacles

Bets: Place Only, 123 & Xtra Combos (as a Sequential Double), Total Combo      BASIC PLAN -4

Naps I – No selection

Naps II
400 Bang. CROSSBOW CREEK F/c 7/2/3RD (Double stake)

Bet: Total Combo     BASIC PLAN -1

Place Only I – No qualifier

Place Only II

Bang: INCAS/LOST

Bets: Basic bet     BASIC PLAN EVEN [-0.34]

Fancies - None

My Lay bets – None

Tips

Late result from yesterday: FORM 845 Monm(USA)/LOST

HOH AFRIQUE Late price 12/1 145 Fair(RSA)/LOST

ROYAL LEAH Race 9 Arli(USA)/Late result – see tomorrow

Bets:Tiny Win      [OVERALL EVEN (-0.31)]

Good word on BAHAMIAN MAMA 205 York/2ND no bet WAKE UP MAGGIE 500 Yor/2ND.      [OVERALL EVEN (-0.10)]

Lay tips to hand STRATEGIC MOUNT 135 York/HRS LOST – no bet GUDALAJARA 240 York/HRS LOST – no bet [Wrong decisions, but no regrets]

The major Win tip to hand is WAKE UP MAGGIE 500 York/2nd

Bet: Small Win, the balance Place only totaling 40 points     [OVERALL +7]

PROSPECTS

Dependence today on the multiples and any major tip(s).

OVERALL -7 (including BASIC PLAN -8)