Diary for Mar 30 2007
OUTCOME: BASIC PLAN: -2 pts [within OVERALL: -8]
PROSPECTS (as they seemed over-night):
I have shortlisted just ELYAADI/LOST (Row 3). My stats are very encouraging across the board for the win, not that they guarantee anything of course. A serious negative, I think, is that Newmarket opposes born out - always worth worrying about - hence the Row 3 location. More or less another 'Laura Luck' day. I shall not be risking much.
Summary Day 360 C/F to Mar 30 (Day361 Month12 Wk4.7+5 Phase06DrDay30) E&OE - BASIC PLAN (Phase 06Dr wef 01/03/07) Surplus = +262 pts @ ave of +c9/day ... within OVERALL Phase 06Dr Surplus = +291 @ ave of +c10/day. Gain days in Phase 06Dr: Mar: **13 B/PL (11 O/A). [**Break-Even days count as Win ones on the basis that if I haven't lost, I must have won!] PLUS BASIC PLAN (Phase 06C only wef 01/11/06-28/02/07: Day330 Phase06C Day119) = -81 pts net .... within OVERALL (Phase 06C only) = -673 pts gross (adjusted, re: presumed error - from -651). Gain-days in Phase 06C: Feb: 13 B/PL (12 O/A)[-93], Jan '07: 21 (19) [-41], Dec '06: 16 (11) [-300], Nov: 19 (15) [-218] PLUS B/f BASIC PLAN (Phase 06B: 01/08/06-31/10/06) = +204 points ….within. OVERALL (Phase 06B only) = +41 points gross (Gain-days in Phase 06B: Aug:- 14 Basic Plan (Overall 15) [-105 O/a]; Sep: 15 (13) [-201]; Oct: 17 (18) [+347] PLUS B/f BASIC PLAN (Phase 06A: 01/04/06 to 31/7/06) = -366 points ..... within OVERALL (Phase 06A only) = -2656 points gross (Gain-days in Phase 06A: In Apr: Overall 11 from 29 bet-days [-957]; May: 15 from 31 [-174]; Jun: 15 from 30 [+408]; Jul: 15 from 31 [-1938]
Ongoing stock-take, Basic Plan: post Phase 06C: No change.
Combo I (Press Corps) Bets: 123 Combo (Win on ELYAADI/Lost), Xtra Combo (Sequential Double), 1/2 share of Total Combo (Seq. Double) BASIC PLAN -2
See below for Combo II (Naps Table)
Rows 1& 2 - No qualifier
Supplementaries (Row 2): Short-List Combo, Ad hoc Mop Up on BLUE SKY THINKING/WON, 2nd rung Remedial Supplementary on ELYAADI/Lost, Mistake/s [Nil], Discrepancy [Nil] [OVERALL -7]
Place Only I
Wolv: BLUE SKY THINKING/Won, (for the Xtra Combo) ELYAADI/Lost - Bets: Basic on Blue Sky Thinking BASIC PLAN EVEN [+0.19]
Place Only II
Asco: MENDO/WON - Bet: Basic [OVERALL +1]
Combo II (Naps Table) Bets: 1/2 share of Total Combo (Seq. Double) BASIC PLAN EVEN [-0.34]
Naps I - No selection
Naps II
Wolv: TAKITWO/3RD - Bets: None (except as part of the Total Combo Seq. Double) BASIC PLAN EVEN
Tips
1) Main tip to hand is ABRAGANTE/LOST 515 Asco. Bets (against advice as usually Win, sometimes EW, tip): Split of small Win + (mainly) Place Only, to grand total of 11 pts for 'small' field [OVERALL -11]
2) Endorsements over obstacles (Good words), including my dedicated stats for this bet category at Asco: MENDO/Won/MODICUM/2ND (73W35L) - Bets: Basic Place Only [OVERALL +3]
3) Other tip/s for fun (at negligible risk): (a) International Zone: RSA Fair: THANDIWEI/LOST - Gulf(USA) 658 No2 BLAZING DYNAMO F/c 7/2/Late result - see tomorrow (b) RSA - Fair. Race 2 THANDIWEI/Lost F/c 5/1, Race 3 MY DANCE/WON F/c 12/10, Race 8 KINDLY KAT/WON F/c 12/10, Race 9 MISTER MAMBO/LOST F/c 4/1 (c) Selection Boxes: Asco: ROYAL SHAKESPEARE/2ND F/c Evs/LORD HENRY/WON F/c 13/8, SHOULDHAVEHADTHAT/WON F/c 11/4/SCOTLAND YARD/2ND F/c 4/1, QUICK/LOST F/c 25/1; LingA: HAZZARD COUNTY/WON F/c 6/4; Wolv: TAKITWO/3rd F/c 5/2 - Bets: Small/miniscule win, place/show, the occasional EW [OVERALL +8]