Diary for Mar 23 2007
OUTCOME: BASIC PLAN -14 pts [within OVERALL: -16]
PROSPECTS (as they seemed over-night):
1 short-listed: MARK THE BOOK/3RD (Place Only I). My Majority stat is only all right, but my Odds stats are minority ones for the win. To boot, it is significantly Opposed. I am not risking much today.
Summary Day 352 C/F to Mar 24 (Day353 Month12 Wk4.4 Phase06DrDay24) E&OE - BASIC PLAN (Phase 06Dr wef 01/03/07) Surplus = +169 pts @ ave of +c7/day ... within OVERALL Phase 06Dr Surplus = +180 @ ave of +c8/day. Gain days in Phase 06Dr: Mar: **8 B/PL (7 O/A). **Break-Even days count as Win ones on the basis that if I haven't lost, I must have won! PLUS BASIC PLAN (Phase 06C only wef 01/11/06-28/02/07: Day330 Phase06C Day119) = -81 pts net .... within OVERALL (Phase 06C only) = -673 pts gross (adjusted, for presumed error, from -651 - yet to be confirmed). Gain-days in Phase 06C: Feb: 13 B/PL (12 O/A)[-93], Jan '07: 21 (19) [-41], Dec '06: 16 (11) [-300], Nov: 19 (15) [-218] PLUS B/f BASIC PLAN (Phase 06B: 01/08/06-31/10/06) = +204 points ….within. OVERALL (Phase 06B only) = +41 points gross (Gain-days in Phase 06B: Aug:- 14 Basic Plan (Overall 15) [-105 O/a]; Sep: 15 (13) [-201]; Oct: 17 (18) [+347] PLUS B/f BASIC PLAN (Phase 06A: 01/04/06 to 31/7/06) = -366 points ..... within OVERALL (Phase 06A only) = -2656 points gross (Gain-days in Phase 06A: In Apr: Overall 11 from 29 bet-days [-957]; May: 15 from 31 [-174]; Jun: 15 from 30 [+408]; Jul: 15 from 31 [-1938]
Ongoing stock-take, Basic Plan: post Phase 06C: No change today.
Combo I (Press Corps) Bets: 123 Combo (Win bet today), Half share of Total Combo (Sequential Double today), Xtra Combo on Place Only I inclusion (Win single today) BASIC PLAN -8
See below for Combo II (Naps Table)
Rows 1 & 2 - No qualifier
Bets (Row 2): Short-list (Place Only) 'Combo' & Ad hoc Supplementary Mop Up, Mistake/s [Nil], Discrepancy [+0.62] [OVERALL +1]
Row 3
330 LingA. FANTASTIC CEE/LOST F/c 11/10 Infiltrated on Support (3xNaps incl. Newmarket's) - Bets: None BASIC PLAN EVEN
Place Only I
210 Newb: MARK THE BOOK/3rd F/c 10/11 Min value odds according to my Odds Congiguration stat + 20% = 1.43 (To Place) New odds stat stakes reducer (General) x 0.96 Old stat stakes enhancer x 1.28 - Bets: Basic BASIC PLAN EVEN [+0.08]
Place Only II
LingA: TETOUAN/LOST; Wolv: BLACKHEATH/LOST - Bet: Basic [OVERALL -3]
Combo II (Naps Table) Bets: Half share of Total Combo BASIC PLAN -3
Naps I
MARK THE BOOK/3rd (Double stake) - Bets: Basic + Mop Up; 'Double' (an enhancement of the Basic bet today), '2-Row Double' (with Row 1 when possible, today a further enhancement of the Basic bet) BASIC PLAN -4
Naps II - No selection
Tips
1) No Main tip [Bets (against advice as usually Win, sometimes EW, tip): Split of small Win + (mainly) Place Only, to grand total of 8 (or *11) pts for 'large (or *small)' field OVERALL N/A]
2) Endorsements over obstacles (Good words), including my dedicated stats for this bet category, at Newb: MARK THE BOOK/3rd/MASTER EDDY/WON (70W34L) HILLS OF ARAN/3RD taking a chance (15W33L) - Bets: Basic Place Only [OVERALL +3]
3) Other tip/s for fun (at negligible risk): International Zone: 656 Gulf(USA) OISTING BAY F/c 5/2/Late result - see tomorrow; RSA Fair: Race 1 GARDENER'S DELIGHT/WON, Race 2 NORTHERN BANKER/NO RUN, ZIP LOCK/NO RUN, MILLSIDE/PLACED; Selection Boxes: LingA: AMBROSIANO/WON; Newb: PETITJEAN/LOST/PRETTY STAR/3RD; Wolv: FANTASTIC CEE/Lost - Bets: Miniscule/Small Win or Place/Show [OVERALL -4]