Diary for Mar 20 2007
OUTCOME: BASIC PLAN -2 pts [within OVERALL: -10]
PROSPECTS (as they seemed over-night):
One short-listed today: THE GREY ONE/3RD (Place Only I). My Majority stat is very encouraging, not that it guarantees anything. My Odds stats, however, include one that is amongs the worst I have to hand at present (22W43L). I can only be mildly hopeful of a small profit today; no more than that.
Summary (Day 349) C/F to Mar 20 (Day350 Month12 Wk3.7 Phase06DrDay21) E&OE - BASIC PLAN (Phase 06Dr wef 01/03/07) Surplus = +134 pts @ ave of +c7/day ... within OVERALL Phase 06Dr Surplus = +143 @ ave of +c7/day. Gain days in Phase 06Dr: Mar: **7 B/PL (6 O/A). **Break-Even days count as Win ones on the basis that if I haven't lost, I must have won! PLUS BASIC PLAN (Phase 06C only wef 01/11/06-28/02/07: Day330 Phase06C Day119) = -81 pts net .... within OVERALL (Phase 06C only) = -673 pts gross (adjusted, for presumed error, from -651 - yet to be confirmed). Gain-days in Phase 06C: Feb: 13 B/PL (12 O/A)[-93], Jan '07: 21 (19) [-41], Dec '06: 16 (11) [-300], Nov: 19 (15) [-218] PLUS B/f BASIC PLAN (Phase 06B: 01/08/06-31/10/06) = +204 points ….within. OVERALL (Phase 06B only) = +41 points gross (Gain-days in Phase 06B: Aug:- 14 Basic Plan (Overall 15) [-105 O/a]; Sep: 15 (13) [-201]; Oct: 17 (18) [+347] PLUS B/f BASIC PLAN (Phase 06A: 01/04/06 to 31/7/06) = -366 points ..... within OVERALL (Phase 06A only) = -2656 points gross (Gain-days in Phase 06A: In Apr: Overall 11 from 29 bet-days [-957]; May: 15 from 31 [-174]; Jun: 15 from 30 [+408]; Jul: 15 from 31 [-1938]
Ongoing stock-take, Basic Plan: post Phase 06C: No change today.
Combo I (Press Corps) Bets: Xtra Combo + LateXtra BASIC PLAN EVEN [-0.29]
Combo II (Naps Table) Bets: Total Combo + Xtras BASIC PLAN -3
Rows 1-3 - No qualifier
Supplementary bets (Row 2): Short-list (Place Only) 'Combo,' Ad hoc Supplementary Mop Ups on Place Only I inclusions, Mistake/s [Nil], Discrepancy [Negligible] [OVERALL +1]
Place Only I
SoutA: THE GREY ONE/3rd - Warw: TRITONIX/WON - Bets: Basic BASIC PLAN +1
Place Only II
SoutA: THE BRONX/LOST - Warw: SPROSSER/LOST [OVERALL -2]
Naps I - No selection
Naps II
Exet: MALJIMAR/3RD, KHASAB/LOST; Warw: SPROSSER/Lost, TRITONIX/Won - Bets: None BASIC PLAN EVEN
Tips
1) Main tip to hand 450 Exet. KHASAB/Lost F/c 9/4 My Odds Config. stat is not terrific: 18W29L - Bets (against advice as usually Win, sometimes EW, tip): Split of small Win + (mainly) Place Only, to grand total of 8 pts for 'large' field [OVERALL -8]
2) Endorsements over obstacles (Good words), including my dedicated stats for this bet category, at
Exet: MALJIMAR/3rd (9W23L) BACK NINE/2ND/Added on price: HANDYMAN/LOST (13W18L) KHASAB/Lost (81W61L) Added on price: RULING REEF/LOST (2W5L); Warw: SPROSSER/Lost (63W59L) PATMAN DU CHARMIL/WON (63W59L) TRITONIX/Won (66W55L) ROWDY YEATS/WON (63W59L) - Bets: Basic Place Only (Tiny Win in running on price Handyman) [OVERALL +2]
3) Other tip/s for fun (at negligible risk): International Zone: 620 Phil(USA) SKIPPING GOLD F/c 6/1/Late result - see tomorrow - 320 Grey(RSA) MAX JAFFA/LOST; Selection Boxes: Exet: BACK NINE/2nd - RSA(Keni) JOSHUA'S DREAM/WON 2.50 LORDSHIP/WON - Others to be advised if any (not expected)
Bets: Small Win on Joshua's Dream & Tiny Win on Lordship, Tiny EW on Max Jaffa, Miniscule Place/Show on Back Nine & Skipping Gold
"4321" bet: 450 Exet: MA YAHAB/2ND - Bet: Tiny EW [OVERALL EVEN (+0.42)]