Diary for Mar 08 2007
Bets on Thu Mar 08 2007
OUTCOME: BASIC PLAN +1 pt (within OVERALL: +14)
PROSPECTS (as they seemed over-night):
I found 1 to short-list: GANSAY/WON (Place Only I). My Majority stat is strong but the Odds stat isn't. Very little staked. I hope for a small profit.
Summary (Day 338) C/F to Mar 09 (Day338 Month12 Wk2.2 Phase06DrDay9) E&OE - BASIC PLAN (Phase 06Dr wef 01/03/07) Surplus = +93 pts @ ave of 12 pts/day ... within OVERALL Phase 06Dr Surplus = +147 @ ave of 18/day. Gain days in Phase 06Dr: Mar: **5 B/PL (4 O/A). **Break-Even days count as Win ones on the basis that if I haven't lost, I must have won! PLUS BASIC PLAN (Phase 06C only wef 01/11/06-28/02/07: Day330 Phase06C Day119) = -81 pts net .... within OVERALL (Phase 06C only) = -673 pts gross (adjusted, for presumed error, from -651 - yet to be confirmed). Gain-days in Phase 06C: Feb: 13 B/PL (12 O/A)[-93], Jan '07: 21 (19) [-41], Dec '06: 16 (11) [-300], Nov: 19 (15) [-218] PLUS B/f BASIC PLAN (Phase 06B: 01/08/06-31/10/06) = +204 points ….within. OVERALL (Phase 06B only) = +41 points gross (Gain-days in Phase 06B: Aug:- 14 Basic Plan (Overall 15) [-105 O/a]; Sep: 15 (13) [-201]; Oct: 17 (18) [+347] PLUS B/f BASIC PLAN (Phase 06A: 01/04/06 to 31/7/06) = -366 points ..... within OVERALL (Phase 06A only) = -2656 points gross (Gain-days in Phase 06A: In Apr: Overall 11 from 29 bet-days [-957]; May: 15 from 31 [-174]; Jun: 15 from 30 [+408]; Jul: 15 from 31 [-1938]
Ongoing stock-take, Basic Plan: post Phase 06C: I have discontinued "Place Only II" for the time being. (I may reinstate it within "Overall" at some point as I am by no means unhappy with it.)
Rows 1 & 2 - No qualifier
Bets (Row 2): 123 'Combo' (today a tiny win bet), Total Combo + Xtra, Ad hoc Remedial Supplementary on PETITJEAN/WON, MultiFancy Combo (with Tips Row), Mistakes: MultiFancy/A Combo (intentionally including Gauvain & Petitjean but wrongly omitting Gansay): I went Win instead of EW (-2.45), Discrepancy (Negligible) OVERALL +8
Row 3
425 Winc. PETITJEAN/Won F/c 9/4 Infiltrated (5xNaps,2xNBs), taking a chance (due to the sheer weight of Support) - Quintuple stake
Bets: None (i.e., the 123 & Total Combos & a Remedial Supplementary within "Overall") BASIC PLAN EVEN
Place Only I
Winc: GAUVAIN/2ND - GANSAY/Won
Bets: Basic, Xtra Combo + LateXtra BASIC PLAN +1
Naps I - No selection
Naps II - GAUVAIN/2nd - Double stake. Bets: None (i,e., just in the Total Combo under "Overall") BASIC PLAN EVEN
Tips
1) Main tip to hand is PETITJEAN/Won F/c 9/4 My Odds stat is OKish for a fancied runner (14W21L) - thought not to have too much to beat
Bets (against advice as this is usually a Win tip): Split of very small Win + (mainly) Place Only, to grand total of 15 pts for 'small' field [OVERALL +8]
2) Endorsements over obstacles (Good words), including my dedicated stats for this bet category, at Winc: No selection initially but added RASLAN/2ND (18W23L) [OVERALL +1]
3) Other tip/s for fun (at negligible risk): Nada(UAE) YASOOD/3RD - NAIPE MARCADO/LOST - FOLK/WON
Thur(IR) KAZAL/WON
Vaal(RSA) SPINNING TALES/3RD - REBEL KING/NO RUN - WINTER SPORTS/3RD - CANNY ROYALE/LOST
Bets: Small/Miniscule Win, MultiFancy Combo (EW Doubles including, as Supplementary component, Gauvain, Gansay & Petitjean)
954 Gulf(USA) DIXIELANDBANDITO/2ND F/c 15/1 - yesterday
658 Gulf(USA) FARLEYSHELDONWHEELS/LOST F/c 10/1
Bets: Miniscule Win
Vaal(RSA) NARC/WON - Nada(UAE) MOONER/LOST
Bets: Miniscule EW
More awaited - but not expected [OVERALL +2]