Diary for Mar 07 2007
Bets on Wed Mar 07 2007
OUTCOME: BASIC PLAN -1pts (within OVERALL: -5)
PROSPECTS (as they seemed over-night):
I found 3 to short-list: DAYTONA/WON, ASK BOBBY/UNSEATED & TURBO LINN/WON (Place Only I). My Majority stats are strong but the Odds stats are not.
Very little staked. I hope for a small profit.
Summary (Day 337) C/F to Mar 08 (Day338 Month12 Wk2.1 Phase06DrDay8) E&OE - BASIC PLAN (Phase 06Dr wef 01/03/07) Surplus = +92 pts @ ave of 13 pts/day ... within OVERALL Phase 06Dr Surplus = +133 @ ave of 19/day. Gain days in Phase 06Dr: Mar: **4 B/PL (3 O/A). **Break-Even days count as Win ones on the basis that if I haven't lost, I must have won! PLUS BASIC PLAN (Phase 06C only wef 01/11/06-28/02/07: Day330 Phase06C Day119) = -81 pts net .... within OVERALL (Phase 06C only) = -673 pts gross (adjusted, for presumed error, from -651 - yet to be confirmed). Gain-days in Phase 06C: Feb: 13 B/PL (12 O/A)[-93], Jan '07: 21 (19) [-41], Dec '06: 16 (11) [-300], Nov: 19 (15) [-218] PLUS B/f BASIC PLAN (Phase 06B: 01/08/06-31/10/06) = +204 points ….within. OVERALL (Phase 06B only) = +41 points gross (Gain-days in Phase 06B: Aug:- 14 Basic Plan (Overall 15) [-105 O/a]; Sep: 15 (13) [-201]; Oct: 17 (18) [+347] PLUS B/f BASIC PLAN (Phase 06A: 01/04/06 to 31/7/06) = -366 points ..... within OVERALL (Phase 06A only) = -2656 points gross (Gain-days in Phase 06A: In Apr: Overall 11 from 29 bet-days [-957]; May: 15 from 31 [-174]; Jun: 15 from 30 [+408]; Jul: 15 from 31 [-1938]
Ongoing stock-take, Basic Plan: post Phase 06C: No further change
Rows 1 & 2 - No qualifier
Bets (Row 2): 1st rung Remedial Supplementary + Mop Up on DAYTONA/Won, 123 & Total Combos + Xtra/s, Mistake/s (-0.92), Discrepancy (Negligible) OVERALL EVEN [-0.06]
Row 3
130 LingA. DAYTONA/Won F/C 10/11 Infiltrated on Support (1xNap,1xNB)
435 LingA: HALSION CHANCER/LOST F/c Evs Infiltrated on Support (1xNap,1xNB)
Added (due to non runner) 505 LingA: RULE FOR EVER/LOST F/c 5/2 Infiltrated on Support (2xNaps,1xNB) taking a chance as my revised Odds stat is dodgy (24W40L) - in time for Xtra/1 Combo & later
Bets: Basic (Place Only) on Daytona, Xtra Combo + LateXtras BASIC PLAN EVEN [+0.11]
Place Only I
Catt: MIGHTY FINE/3RD - ASK BOBBY/UR - TURBO LINN/Won
LingA: DAYTONA/Won - Added: RULE FOR EVER/Lost
Bets: Basic, Xtra Combo + LateXtras BASIC PLAN -2
Naps I - No selection
Naps II - ASK BOBBY/UR - HALSION CHANCER/Lost. Bets: None BASIC PLAN EVEN
Tips
1) No Main tip. [Bets (against advice as this is usually a Win tip): Split of very small Win + (mainly) Place Only, to grand total of (11/15 pts for 'large/small' field) [OVERALL N/A]
2) Endorsements over obstacles (Good words), including my dedicated stats for this bet category, at Catt: ASK BOBBY/ur (61W53L) [OVERALL -3]
3) Other tip/s for fun (at negligible risk): 140 Vaal(RSA). RIPPLING RING/WON F/c 9/10 954 Gulf(USA) DIXIELANDBANDITO F/c 15/1/Late result - see tomorrow. More awaited - but not expected Bets: Miniscule Win [OVERALL +2]