Diary for Mar 04 2007
Bets on Sun Mar 04 2007 (Sunday Mode partially applied)
OUTCOME: BASIC PLAN +71 pts (within OVERALL: +63)
PROSPECTS (as they seemed yesterday): I short-listed 3: CLASSIC FIDDLE/WON (Row 1) PRIVATE BE/WON (Row 2) & SCOTLAND YARD/2ND (Row 3).
Strongly supported on the face of it. I expect to do all right but I have applied Sunday Mode and declined to do a Star bet on Classic Fiddle.
Summary (Day 334) C/F to Mar 05 (Day335 Month12 Wk1.5 Phase06DrDay5) E&OE - BASIC PLAN (Phase 06Dr wef 01/03/07) Surplus = +90 pts... within OVERALL Phase 06Dr Surplus = +130. Gain days in Phase 06Dr: Mar: **2 B/PL (2 O/A). **Break-Even days count as Win ones on the basis that if I haven't lost, I must have won!
PLUS BASIC PLAN (Phase 06C only wef 01/11/06-28/02/07: Day330 Phase06C Day119) = -81 pts net .... within OVERALL (Phase 06C only) = -673 pts gross (adjusted, for presumed error, from -651). Gain-days in Phase 06C: Feb: 13 B/PL (12 O/A)[-93], Jan '07: 21 (19) [-41], Dec '06: 16 (11) [-300], Nov: 19 (15) [-218]
PLUS B/f BASIC PLAN (Phase 06B: 01/08/06-31/10/06) = +204 points ….within. OVERALL (Phase 06B only) = +41 points gross (Gain-days in Phase 06B: Aug:- 14 Basic Plan (Overall 15) [-105 O/a]; Sep: 15 (13) [-201]; Oct: 17 (18) [+347]
PLUS B/f BASIC PLAN (Phase 06A: 01/04/06 to 31/7/06) = -366 points ..... within OVERALL (Phase 06A only) = -2656 points gross (Gain-days in Phase 06A: In Apr: Overall 11 from 29 bet-days [-957]; May: 15 from 31 [-174]; Jun: 15 from 30 [+408]; Jul: 15 from 31 [-1938]
Ongoing stock-take, Basic Plan: post Phase 06C: (1) I have decided to keep the 2-Row Doubles (Row 1 & Naps I) in Basic Plan; (2) I have decided to restrict Remedial Supplementaries to Row 3 qualifiers.
Row 1 - CLASSIC FIDDLE/Won F/c 1/2 Min value odds according to my Odds Configuration stat + 20% =1.83, Row 1 new Odds stat stakes enhancer x 2.30, Old Sundays stat stakes enhancer x *3.70 *based on 33 results (26W7L). Bets: Capped Basic + Mop Up, 2-Row Doubles & Trebles (with Row 2 - today Sequential Doubles), 2-Row Doubles (with Naps I, today an enhancement of the Basic bets), Place Only, Xtra Combo + LateXtras BASIC PLAN +39
Row 2 - PRIVATE BE/Won F/c 8/13 Min value odds + 20% = 1.58, Row 2 new Odds stat enhancer x 1.44, Old Sundays stat enhancer as above x 3.70. Bets: Capped Basic + Mop Ups, '2-Row Doubles & Trebles' (with Row 1), Place Only, Xtra Combo PLUS Supplementaries: Capped FS + Mop Up (Row 2), 1st rung Remedial (Row 3), Place Only on STAR ANGLER/NON RUN/HEAVY WEATHER/2ND, the '123' & 'Total' Combos + Xtras, Mistake/s, Discrepancy (+2.95) BASIC PLAN +29 plus OVERALL -8
Row 3 Kels: SCOTLAND YARD/2nd F/c 8/11 Min val odds + 20% = 2.02 General new odds stat stakes enhancer x 1.72 Old Sundays stat stakes adjuster x Zero on 30 results. Bets: Mop Up, Xtra Combo BASIC PLAN EVEN [-0.17]
Place Only I - on all the short-list and NO RETREAT/LOST. Bets: Basic, Xtra Combo + LateXtras BASIC PLAN EVEN [-0.25]
Place Only II - discontinued (for the time being)
Naps I - CLASSIC FIDDLE/Won (Triple stake). Bets: Basic, Mop Up, Xtra Combo + LateXtras BASIC PLAN +4
Naps II - NO RETREAT/Lost. Bets: Xtra Combo BASIC PLAN EVEN
My Lay bets - Discontinued (for the time being)
Fancies - Discontinued (for the time being)
Tips
1) No Main tip to hand. [Bets (against advice as this is a Win tip): Split of very small Win + (mainly) Place Only, to grand total of 15 points (for a 'small' field) [OVERALL N/A]
2) Endorsements over obstacles (Good words), including my dedicated stats for this bet category, at Bang: SCOTLAND YARD/2nd (74W57L) HEAVY WEATHER/2nd (59W58L) CLASSIC FIDDLE/Won (35W48L) PRIVATE BE/Won (74W57L) OUR JASPER/LOST (15W32L) NO RETREAT/Lost (19W23L). Bets: Place Only/To win on No Retreat [OVERALL EVEN (-0.48)]
3) Other tip/s for fun (at negligible risk): Keni(RSA) HELENA/LOST, 854 Gulf(USA) ROCKINTOTHERYTHM F/c 20/1/Late result - see tomorrow More tips awaited if any - but not expected Bets: Miniscule Win [OVERALL EVEN (-0.12)]