2006-Sep-30
Diary for Sep 30 2006
Day181Month6Week4.7+2 (Phase 06B Day61)
PROSPECTS
Another Laura Luck day.
My best stats are on SIRNANDO/2ND but I have located it in Row 3.
OUTCOME:
A profit is a profit OVERALL +14 points (including BASIC PLAN -2)
Financial Summary E&OE:-
C/F to Oct Week 1.1Sunday mode: Day182 (Phase B: Day 62)
OVERALL Phase 06B only (wef 01/08/06) deficit = -306 points @ an average of -c5/day…..including BASIC PLAN (Phase 06B) deficit = -78 points @ an average of -c1/day
Gain-days in Phase 06B: Aug: 15 Overall (14 Basic Plan) [-105]; Sep: 13 (15) [-201]
PLUS
OVERALL Phase 06A only (01/04/06 to 31/7/06) deficit frozen (for comparison purposes) @ -2656 points ... including BASIC PLAN @ -366 points
Gain-days in Phase 06A:
In Apr: 11 Overall from 29 bet-days [-957]; May: 15 from 31 [-174]; Jun: 15 from 30 [+408]; Jul: 15 from 31 [-1938]
Rows 1 & 2 - No qualifier
Bets (Supplementary - Row 2): Short-List Combo (EWDoubles), Short-list/1 Combo (WinDouble after High Hope withdrawn), ditto after Sirnando (Win) OVERALL -5
Row 3
300 Font. HIGH HOPE/NON RUN F/c 9/4 Min value odds according to my 'odds configuration' stat + 20% = 2.51 New odds stat stakes reducer (General) x 0.51 Old stat stakes enhancer x 1.09 Halve stakes as the race is over obstacles
520 Font. SIRNANDO/2nd F/c 5/4 Min val odds + 20% = 2.10 New odds stat stakes enhancer (General) x 1.33 Old stat stakes enhancer x 1.09 No halving of stakes as this is not over obstacles
Bets: Place Only, the 3 Combos, Xtras BASIC PLAN EVEN [+0.01]
Naps I & II - No selection
Place Only I - on Row 3 and
Redc: HOH MIKE/LOST*
Wolv: NON COMPLIANT/WON
*NOTEWORTHY: One of my worst stats is past qualifiers' results in races where 6 runners were F/c @ under 14/1. For this reason I dropped Stevie Gee & Dodge City from the original Place Only II list (they lost, too). I very nearly dropped Hoh Mike, here, but, due to its market support, included it. With more going on, it would have been dropped
Bets: Basic, Xtra Combo, LateXtra/1 Combo (Win Double after High Hope), ditto/2 (Win, after Sirnando) BASIC PLAN -2
Place Only II
Font: ZALDA/WON
Newm: ALEXANDER GOLDRUN/LOST
Bets: Basic BASIC PLAN EVEN [-0.42]
Fancies
Kemp: RALLYING CRY/WON - MUTAMARED/WON - SCOTCH PANCAKE/2ND
Bet: Tiny EWDoubles OVERALL +1
My Lay bets - None
Tips
SMART FIGHTER 110 Keni(RSA/LOST
MONTARE 250 Long(Fr./WON
SURELY SENT 810 Cald(USA/2ND
Bets: Tiny win [OVERALL +1]
No major Lay tip to hand
The major EW tip to hand is PINPOINT/3RD F/c 11/1 345 Newm. Solid win, the balance Place Only, to total 20 points [OVERALL +21]
Good words to hand on AGILETE/LOST (did tiny win bet, after all) - DIUM MAC/3RD - GRACECHURCH/LOST - FAIRMILE/LOST
Bet: Tiny win on Fairmile, no bet the rest [OVERALL (-0.20)]
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