The Totopoly Kid

Bets on Mon Feb 26 2007
OUTCOME: BASIC PLAN: -18 pts (within OVERALL: -10)
PROSPECTS (as they seemed yesterday): I struggled today, rather, but boiled a longer short-list down to 4: JUVEIGNEUR/WON (Row 2), OCO/2ND (Row 3), OFFICIER DE RESERVE/WON (Place Only I) & FANMAIL/LOST (Fancy).
My Majority stats are encouraging about these except for Officier De Reserve, whose Odds stats, however, are fine, as are those of the others - except I've no Odds stats for Juveigneur's rare F/c Odds Configuration of only one runner below 14/1.
Assuming Juveigneur does win - and with bigger fish to fry coming up soon, it is by no means certain he will (danger of being pulled up on the smallest set-back being real enough, I would think) - I should be all right, though not spectacularly so.

Summary (Day 328) C/F to 27 Feb (Day329Month11Week4.6Phase06CDay118) E&OE:
BASIC PLAN (Phase 06C only wef 01/11/06) deficit = -45 points net @ an average this Phase of -c0 points/day .... within OVERALL Phase 06C deficit of -613 points gross @ an average of -c5 points/day. Gain-days in Phase 06C: Feb: **13 B/PL (12 O/A), Jan '07: 21 (19) [-41: but there seems to be an error somewhere of 33 points not so far located], Dec '06: 16 (11) [-300], Nov: 19 (15) [-218] **Break-Even days count as Win ones on the basis that if I haven't lost ... I must have won!
PLUS B/f BASIC PLAN (Phase 06B: 01/08/06-31/10/06) = +204 points .... within OVERALL (Phase 06B only) = +41 points gross (Gain-days in Phase 06B: Aug:- 14 Basic Plan (Overall 15) [-105 O/a]; Sep: 15 (13) [-201];  Oct: 17 (18) [+347])
PLUS B/f BASIC PLAN (Phase 06A: 01/04/06 to 31/7/06) = -366 points ..... within OVERALL (Phase 06A only) = -2656 points gross (Gain-days in Phase 06A: In Apr: Overall 11 from 29 bet-days [-957]; May: 15 from 31 [-174]; Jun: 15 from 30 [+408]; Jul: 15 from 31 [-1938])

Row 1 - No qualifier

Row 2
220 Plum. JUVEIGNEUR/Won F/c 1/16 Min value odds according to my Odds Configuration stat + 20% = 1.08 New odds stat stakes adjuster (Row 2) x Zero Old stat stakes enhancer x *3.50 (*on only 27 results)
Bets: Basic, FS (1st rung), 2-Row 'Trebles' (with Row 1 normally, today a small enhancement of the Basic bet), 123 Combo (Sequential Double - gain from 1st bet not incorporated into the 2nd), Total & Xtra Combos + LateXtra, Short-list (Place Only) Combo (not Juveigneur), Ad hoc Supplementary Mop Ups (not Juveigneur but including Fanmail/Lost), Mistake/s - none, Discrepancy (Negligible)     BASIC PLAN -6 plus OVERALL +3

Row 3
250 Plum. OCO/2ND F/c 4/5 Min val odds + 20% = 1.47 New odds stat stakes enhancer (General) x 1.76 Old stat stakes adjuster x 1.60
Bets: Place Only, the 3 Combos as per Row 2 + LateXtra     BASIC PLAN -8

Place Only I - on Rows 2 (Xtra Combo only) & 3 and
Here: OFFICIER DE RESERVE/WON
Bets: Basic, Xtra Combo + LateXtra      BASIC PLAN EVEN [+0.45]

Place Only II
Here: WESTGATE/3RD
Bets: Basic     BASIC PLAN EVEN [+0.09]

Naps I - No selection

Naps II
WESTGATE/3rd
Bets: Total Combo     BASIC PLAN -5

My Lay bets - Discontinued (for the time being)

Fancy - Potentially worthy rejects from Place Only II:
Here: TISSEMAN/WON- FANMAIL/Lost (rejected from Place Only I)
Plum: THE HARDY BOY/2ND (Ditto)
Added: NEVER SO BLUE/WON
Wolv: KILIMANDSCHARO/WON
Bets: Basic Place Only     OVERALL +2

Tips
1) No Main tip [Bets (against advice usually as this is a Win, occasionally EW, tip): Split of Small Win + (mainly) Place Only, to grand total of ? points (for a 'Small/Large' field) OVERALL N/A]
2) Endorsements over obstacles (Good words), including my dedicated stats for this bet category, at
Here: OFFICIER DE RESERVE/Won (57W52L)
Plum: JUVEIGNEUR/Won (15W13L) - OCO/2nd/WINGMAN//WON (55W32L) - (maybe) THE HARDY BOY/2nd - no bet (17W28L) - Added: NEVER SO BLUE/WON (8W20L)
Bets: Basic Place Only/Win on Juveigneur     [OVERALL +4]
3) Other tip/s for fun (at negligible risk)
653 Phil(USA) GOODIE'S JET F/c 7/5/Late result - see tomorrow
More tips awaited if any - but not expected
Bets: Miniscule Win      [OVERALL N/A]