The Totopoly Kid

Bets on Sun Feb 25 2007 Sunday Mode not applied
OUTCOME: BASIC PLAN: +175 pts (within OVERALL: +174)
PROSPECTS (as they seemed yesterday): I found 4 to short-list: MARK THE BOOK/WON & BLUE SPLASH/NO RUN (Row 2), LE BEAU BAI/WON & PLAYERS PLEASE/WON (Row 3).
My (Sundays) Majority stats are best about Mark The Book & Players Please, the others being 50/50-ish. Odds stats are strongest about Blue Splash (if it runs), weakest about Players Please. Actually, all told, the stats are not too bad - but there is a sprinkling of 'odd-one-out' opposing selections in the Selection Boxes to worry one. I feel I can be no more than hopeful that I won't 'bomb' today.

Summary (Day 327) C/F to 26 Feb (Day328Month11Week4.5Phase06CDay117) E&OE:
BASIC PLAN (Phase 06C only wef 01/11/06) deficit = -27 points net @ an average this Phase of -c0 points/day .... within OVERALL Phase 06C deficit of -603 points gross @ an average of -c5 points/day. Gain-days in Phase 06C: Feb: **13 B/PL (12 O/A), Jan '07: 21 (19) [-41: but there seems to be an error somewhere of 33 points not so far located], Dec '06: 16 (11) [-300], Nov: 19 (15) [-218] **Break-Even days count as Win ones on the basis that if I haven't lost ... I must have won!
PLUS B/f BASIC PLAN (Phase 06B: 01/08/06-31/10/06) = +204 points .... within OVERALL (Phase 06B only) = +41 points gross (Gain-days in Phase 06B: Aug:- 14 Basic Plan (Overall 15) [-105 O/a]; Sep: 15 (13) [-201];  Oct: 17 (18) [+347])
PLUS B/f BASIC PLAN (Phase 06A: 01/04/06 to 31/7/06) = -366 points ..... within OVERALL (Phase 06A only) = -2656 points gross (Gain-days in Phase 06A: In Apr: Overall 11 from 29 bet-days [-957]; May: 15 from 31 [-174]; Jun: 15 from 30 [+408]; Jul: 15 from 31 [-1938])

Row 1 - No qualifier

Row 2
220 Exet. MARK THE BOOK/Won F/c 8/13 Min value odds according to my Odds Configuration stat + 20% = 2.01 New odds stat stakes enhancer (Row 2) x 1.42 Old stat stakes enhancer x *3.57 (*on only 32 results)
320 Exet. BLUE SPLASH/No run F/c 2/7 Min val odds + 20% = 1.34 New odds stat stakes enhancer (Row 2) x **15.00 (**on only 17 results: 16W1L - I call this "15")
Bets: Basic (+ Mop Up on Mark The Book), Flat FSs (starting at 2nd rung) + Mop Up as per Basic, 2-Row 'Trebles' (with Row 1 normally, today a Sequential Double), Place Only (Not Blue Splash & capped re Mark The Book), Capped 123 & Total Combos + Xtra/s if any, Xtra Combo + LateXtras, Short-list (Place Only) Combo (not Blue Splash), Ad hoc Supplementary Mop Ups (not Blue Splash), Mistake: Multi/A Fancy as regards EW4Fold Accum (Doubled stake in error), Discrepancy (*-2.00)     BASIC PLAN +78 plus OVERALL [*+9.62] *adjusted to +8

Row 3
300 Kemp. ANSELLS PRIDE/WON F/c 6/4 Infiltrated on Support (1xNap,1xNB)
500 Kemp. PLAYERS PLEASE/Won F/c 4/6 Min val odds + 20% = 2.74 New odds stats reducer (General) x 0.96 Old stat stakes enhancer ***x 4.00 (***on only 6 results: 5W1L)
450 Exet. LE BEAU BAI/Won F/c 2/5 Min val odds + 20% = 2.01 New odds stat stakes enhancer (General) x 1.68 Old stat stakes adjuster ****x Zero (****on 30 results)
Bets: Place Only (not Ansells Pride), the 3 Combos as per Row 2 + Xtras     BASIC PLAN +85

Place Only I - on Mark The Book from Row 2 & Le Beau Bai from Row 3
Bets: Basic, Xtra Combo (including Blue Splash/No run) + LateXtra      BASIC PLAN +3

Place Only II
PLAYERS PLEASE/Won
Bets: Basic     BASIC PLAN EVEN [+0.16]

Naps I
PLAYERS PLEASE/Won (Quadruple stake)
Bets: Basic, 'Double' (today an enhancement of the Basic bet), 2-Row Doubles (with Row 1 normally, today an enhancement of the Basic bet), Capped Total Combo + Xtra     BASIC PLAN +10

Naps II - No selection
My Lay bets - Discontinued (for the time being)

Fancy
Naas: ARBOR SUPREME/3RD - SCHINDLERS HUNT/FELL - NICKNAME/WON - WESTERN KID/2ND
Bets: Multi Fancy (WDoubles, EWTrebles, EW4Fold Accum) + Xtras
Potentially worthy reject from Place Only II:
Kemp: ANSELLS PRIDE/Won
Bets: Basic Place Only     OVERALL -6

Tips
1) No Main tip [Bets (against advice usually as this is a Win, occasionally EW, tip): Split of Small Win + (mainly) Place Only, to grand total of ? points (for a 'Small/Large' field) OVERALL N/A]
2) Endorsements over obstacles (Good words), including my dedicated stats for this bet category, at Exet: MARK THE BOOK/Won (54W32L) - BLUE SPLASH/No run (Win Only bet)/perhaps replaced by SWIFT THYNE/NO RUN if Blue Splash does not run (57W51L) - GLASKER MILL/FELL (57W51l)
Bets: Basic Place Only/Win on Blue Splash (no run)     [OVERALL -2]
3) Other tip/s for fun (at negligible risk):
Naas: ARBOR SUPREME/3rd - SCHINDLERS HUNT/Fell - NICKNAME/Won - WESTERN KID/2nd
Clai(RSA) FINAL BLESSING/2ND F/c 4/1
727 Gulf(USA) MARSH MADNESS/LOST F/c 5/2
More tips awaited if any - but not expected
Bets: Miniscule Win      [OVERALL -1]