The Totopoly Kid

Results of bets on Fri Sep 29 2006
Day180Month6Week4.7+1 (Phase 06B Day60)

PROSPECTS
I agonised rather today on inclusions. RARE SOCIETY/2ND was a clear qualifier for Row 1 but I got a gut feeling if would fail. Spotlight's phrase caused this in me: "Looks the logical choice ..." - struck me as not over-warm support. I think it will win, despite this, but I decided to locate it in my Row 3 [Correct decision] but also to chance a (capped) Remedial Supplementary bet on it [First instincts right again! Ah well. At least, the bet was capped]
Apart for this, I found little else to back.
OUTCOME:
The Supplementary did for me today - not for the first time
OVERALL -17 points (including BASIC PLAN -3)

Financial Summary E&OE:-
C/F to Sep Week 4.7+2 Day181 (Phase B: Day 61)
OVERALL Phase 06B only (wef 01/08/06) deficit = -320 points @ an average of  -c5/day…..including BASIC PLAN (Phase 06B) deficit = -76 points @ an average of -c1/day
Gain-days in Phase 06B:In Aug: 15 Overall (14 Basic Plan) from 31 bet-days; in Sep: 12 (15)
PLUS
OVERALL Phase 06A only (01/04/06 to 31/7/06) deficit frozen (for comparison purposes) @ -2656 points ... including BASIC PLAN @ -366 points
Gain-days in Phase 06A:
In Apr: 11 Overall from 29 bet-days [-957]; May: 15 from 31 [-174]; Jun: 15 from 30 [+408]; Jul: 15 from 31 [-1938]

Rows 1 & 2  - No qualifier
Bets (Supplementary - Row 2):
Short-List Combo (Win Doubles), Xtra Short-list/1 Combo (after Rare Society - EWDoubles),
Remedial Supplementary (11th rung, capped @ 25 points Base Stake i.e., pre-adjustment) on RARE SOCIETY/2nd - see below,
Token Win bet on the same "for luck" (actually an error, as, before I downgraded Rare Society to Row 3, I'd had it down for a "2-Row Trebles 'enhancement' bet")     OVERALL -26

Row 3
210 Hexh. RARE SOCIETY/2nd F/c 1/2 Min value bet according to my 'Odds Configuration' stat + 20% = 1.63 New odds stat stakes enhancer (General) x 1.33 Old stat stakes enhancer x 1.39 Halve stake as the race is over obstacles
535 Hexh. SHIWAWA/WON F/c 4/6 Min val odds + 20% = 1.97 New odds stat stakes enhancer x 1.66 Old stat stakes enhancer x 1.30 (No halving of stakes as this is a 'bumper.')
Bets: Place Only, the 3 Combos (Sequential) Decided against increasing the bet on Shiwawa, settling on damage limitation alone from the initial stake on it     BASIC PLAN +1

Naps I
RARE SOCIETY/2nd - see above
Bets: Basic, Double (an enhancement of the Basic bet as there is no other selection), 2-Row Double (normally with Row 1 but today a further enhancement only of the Basic bet), Total Combo (Sequential)     BASIC PLAN -4

Naps II - No selection

Place Only I - on Row 3
Bets: Basic, Xtra Combo (Sequential)     BASIC PLAN +1

Place Only II
Hexh: KNOCKARA LUCKLOST - LINA GRAM/ 2ND
Bets: Basic     BASIC PLAN EVEN [-0.47]

Fancies - None
My Lay bets - None

Tips
CHESTY 907 Laur(USA/NON RUN - from yesterday
WINTER CHERRY 1215 Arli(RSA/WON
MISS ALLEY CAT R2 Cald(USA/LOST
Bets: Tiny win     [OVERALL +1]
Major Lay tip to hand is PRIMUS INTER PARES/NON RUN F/c 5/2 430 Hexh. Ran no sort of race last time when fancied (very recent, days) and I am inclined to think that bad run is worth ignoring. It may well lose but my instinct says leave it alone. No bet.
The major Win tip to hand is MASHAAHED/3RD 345 Newm. Tiny win, the balance to a combined total of 20 points Correct decision     [OVERALL +13]
Good word to hand (confident) on MASHAAHED/3rd 345 Newm.
Bet: Tiny win     [OVERALL (-0.20)]