2007-Feb-20
Diary for Feb 20 2007
OUTCOME: BASIC PLAN: +51 points (within OVERALL: +60)
PROSPECTS (as they seemed yesterday): I have short-listed 6: GRANDIT JACK/WON (Row 2), RANN AN CILLE/3RD, SISTER ETIENNE/WON & ROSA DE MI CORAZON/WON (Place Only I), TOP CLOUD/WON & BRAVE VILLA/WON (Place Only II).
My Majority stats are encouraging about all - not that this guarantees anything. My Odds stats, on the other hand, are mediocre except as regards Granit Jack. It is probably unwise to invest too strongly today. I shall be happy with any profit that comes my way. Unexpectedly good day. Am especially pleased with today's profit considering it was without the help of major win singles.
Summary (Day 322) C/F to 21 Feb (Day323Month11Week3.7Phase06CDay112) E&OE:
BASIC PLAN (Phase 06C only wef 01/11/06) surplus = +82 points net @ an average this Phase of +c1 point/day .... within OVERALL Phase 06C deficit of -359 points gross @ an average of -c3 points/day. Gain-days in Phase 06C: Feb: **12 B/PL (11 O/A), Jan '07: 21 (19) [-41: but there seems to be an error somewhere of 33 points not so far located], Dec '06: 16 (11) [-300], Nov: 19 (15) [-218] **Break-Even days count as Win ones on the basis that if I haven't lost ... I must have won!
PLUS B/f BASIC PLAN (Phase 06B: 01/08/06-31/10/06) = +204 points .... within OVERALL (Phase 06B only) = +41 points gross (Gain-days in Phase 06B: Aug:- 14 Basic Plan (Overall 15) [-105 O/a]; Sep: 15 (13) [-201]; Oct: 17 (18) [+347])
PLUS B/f BASIC PLAN (Phase 06A: 01/04/06 to 31/7/06) = -366 points ..... within OVERALL (Phase 06A only) = -2656 points gross (Gain-days in Phase 06A: In Apr: Overall 11 from 29 bet-days [-957]; May: 15 from 31 [-174]; Jun: 15 from 30 [+408]; Jul: 15 from 31 [-1938])
Row 1 - No qualifier
Row 2
340 Taun. GRANIT JACK/Won F/c 1/2 Min value odds according to my Odds Configuration stat + 20% = 2.02 (not likely to be avail) New odds stat stakes enhancer (Row 2) x 1.36 Old stat stakes enhancer x 1.25
Bets: Basic + Mop Up, 2-Row 'Treble' (with Row 1 normally, today an enhancement of the Basic bet), Place Only, the 3 Combos + LateXtras, Short-list (Place Only) Combo, Ad hoc Supplementary Mop Ups, Mistake/s if any, Discrepancy (*+0.42) BASIC PLAN +10 plus OVERALL [*+2.08] *adjusted to +3
Row 3
320 Sedg: TOP CLOUD/WON Infiltrated on Support (2xNaps,1xNB)
500 SoutA: ROSA DE MI CORAZON/Won Ditto (1xNap,1xNB)
Bets: Place Only (Top Cloud), the 3 Combos + LateXtras BASIC PLAN +21
Place Only I - on Row 2 and
Sedg: EURO AMERICAN/3RD
SoutA: RANN NA CILLE/3RD - SISTER ETIENNE/Won - ROZA DE MI CORAZON/Won
Bets: Basic, Xtra Combo + LateXtras BASIC PLAN +1
Place Only II
Sedg: TOP CLOUD/Won
SoutA: POPOLO/2ND - BELDON HILL/LOST/JAZRAWY/WON - PRETTY SELMA/2ND
Taun: BRAVE VILLA/Won - QUARRY TOWN/3RD/PUR DE SIVOLA/WON - DADA CUP/LOST
Bets: Basic BASIC PLAN +2
Naps I
GRANIT JACK/Won (Double stake) & ROSA DI MI CORAZON/Won (Triple stake)
Bets: Basic (+ Mop Up on Granit Jack), Sequential Double, '2-Row Doubles' (with Row 1 normally, today an enhancement of the existing Double), Total Combo BASIC PLAN +18
Naps II - No selection
My Lay bets - Discontinued (for the time being)
Fancy - Potentially worthy rejects from Place Only II
Sedg: IT'S DEFINITE/LOST (4321 bet) - WISE OWL/2ND
Taun: IM SO LUCKY/WON/ET MAINTENANT/3RD - ORNAIS/2ND/TRIGGER THE LIGHT/WON
Bets: Basic Place Only OVERALL -3
Tips
1) No Main tip [Bets (against advice as this is a Win, occasionally EW, tip): Split of Small Win + (mainly) Place Only, to grand total of ? points (for a 'large/small' field) OVERALL N/A]
2) Endorsements over obstacles (Good words), including my dedicated stats for this bet category, at
Sedg: WISE OWL/2nd (16W23L) - TOP CLOUD/Won (13W16L) - WALKING NED/WON (51W32L)
Taun: QUARRY TOWN/3rd/PUR DE SIVOLA/Won (51W32L) - BRAVE VILLA/Won (11W18L) - GRANIT JACK/Won (69L57L) - ORNAIS/2nd/TRIGGER THE LIGHT/Won (69W57L)
Bets: Basic Place Only [OVERALL +9]
3) Other tip/s for fun (at negligible risk):
924 Gulf(USA) BLUE BULLET/WON F/c 2/1 - yesterday
140 Durb(RSA) OMEGA CODE/WON
532 Phil(USA) KEEP TALKIN/WON F/c 5/2
More tips awaited - but not expected
Bets: Miniscule Win [OVERALL EVEN (+0.48)]
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