The Totopoly Kid

Bets on Tue Feb 13 2007
OUTCOME: BASIC PLAN: -10 points (within OVERALL: -15)
PROSPECTS (as they seemed yesterday): I've short-listed SONOVAFUSHI/LOST (Row 3) & WARNE'S WAY/LOST (Place Only II). My Majority stat is a few notches better than 50/50 for the win about Warne's Way, notches worse than 50/50 about Sonovafushi. My Odds stats are distinctly the other way around & I give these precedence. Both are significantly opposed, hence, along with indifferent Odds stats about Warne's Way, I have located them lowly. Little at stake today. Delighted to have come out of a 'blow out' day this cheaply.

Summary (Day 315) C/F to 14 Feb (Day316Month11Week2.7Phase06CDay105) E&OE:
BASIC PLAN (Phase 06C only wef 01/11/06) surplus = +6 points net @ an average this Phase of +c0 point/day .... within OVERALL Phase 06C deficit of -425 points gross @ an average of -c4 points/day. Gain-days in Phase 06C: Feb: **9 B/PL (8 O/A), Jan '07: 21 (19) [-41: but there seems to be an error somewhere of 33 points not so far found], Dec '06: 16 (11) [-300], Nov: 19 (15) [-218] **Break-Even days count as Win ones on the basis that if I haven't lost ... I must have won!
PLUS B/f BASIC PLAN (Phase 06B: 01/08/06-31/10/06) = +204 points .... within OVERALL (Phase 06B only) = +41 points gross (Gain-days in Phase 06B: Aug:- 14 Basic Plan (Overall 15) [-105 O/a]; Sep: 15 (13) [-201];  Oct: 17 (18) [+347])
PLUS B/f BASIC PLAN (Phase 06A: 01/04/06 to 31/7/06) = -366 points ..... within OVERALL (Phase 06A only) = -2656 points gross (Gain-days in Phase 06A: In Apr: Overall 11 from 29 bet-days [-957]; May: 15 from 31 [-174]; Jun: 15 from 30 [+408]; Jul: 15 from 31 [-1938])

Rows 1 & 2 - No qualifier
Bets (Row 2): Short-list Combo (Sequential Double), Ad hoc Supplementary Mop Up on Warne's Way, Mistake/s if any, Discrepancy (Negligible)     OVERALL -3

Row 3
410 Folk. SONOVAFUSHI/Lost F/c 8/11 Min value odds according to my Odds Configuration stat + 20% = 1.99 New odds stat stakes enhancer (General) x 1.75 Old stat stakes reducer x 0.72
350 SoutA. RED CAPE/Lost F/c 7/4 Infiltrated on Support (2xNaps,1xNB)
Bets: 123 & Total Combo + Xtras, Xtra Combo (Win bet on Sonovafushi today)     BASIC PLAN -3

Place Only I - on Row 3 (just Sonovafushi)
Bets: Xtra Combo     BASIC PLAN -1

Place Only II
Folk: WARNE'S WAY/Lost/KANAD/2ND/BOYASTARA/3RD - HONOURABLE SPIDER/WON
SoutA: RED CAPE/Lost
Bets: Basic/Tiny win bet on Honourable Spider     BASIC PLAN -4

Naps I - No selection
Naps II
WARNE'S WAY/Lost (Double stake), SONOVAFUSHI/Lost & (Double stake) RED CAPE/Lost
Bets: Total Combo + Xtras     BASIC PLAN -1

My Lay bets - Discontinued (for the time being)

Fancy - Potentially worthy rejects from Place Only II
Folk: TANZANITE DAWN/LOST
SoutA: HESSIAN/3RD - HEAVEN'S GATES/3RD
Bets: Basic Place Only     OVERALL -2

Tips
1) No Main tip [Bets (usually against advice as this is a Win, occasionally an EW, tip): Split of Small Win + (mainly) Place Only, to grand total of ? points (for a 'small/large' field) OVERALL N/A]
2) Endorsements over obstacles (Good words), including my dedicated stats for this bet category, at Folk: TANZANITE DAWN/Lost (53W50L) - KANAD/2nd (53W50L) - SONOVAFUSHI/Lost (19W21L)
Bets: Basic Place Only/Win on Sonovafushi     [OVERALL EVEN (-0.41)]
3) Other tip/s for fun (at negligible risk)
Race 4 Phil(USA) ARCHOMAN F/c 5/1/NON RUN - yesterday
Race 3 Phil(USA) DAVID'S DANCE F/c Evs/Late result - see tomorrow
More awaited if any - none expected
Bets: Miniscule Win     [OVERALL EVEN]