2007-Feb-10
Diary for Feb 11 2007
OUTCOME: BASIC PLAN: +6 points (within OVERALL: +10)
PROSPECTS (as they seemed yesterday): I've short-listed RONNIE HOWE/WON (Place Only I). My (Sunday) Majority stat is very encouraging for the win, but the Odds stats are fractionally under 50/50. I have learned to give the latter precedence. Also, Newmarket opposes with a debutant (not a Nap)[3RD] and it pays to beware when he does.
Very little at risk today.
Summary (Day 313) C/F to 12 Feb (Day314Month11Week2.5Phase06CDay103) E&OE:
BASIC PLAN (Phase 06C only wef 01/11/06) surplus = +53 points net @ an average this Phase of +c1 point/day .... within OVERALL Phase 06C deficit of -352 points gross @ an average of -c3 points/day. Gain-days in Phase 06C: Feb: **9 B/PL (8 O/A), Jan '07: 21 (19) [-41: but there seems to be an error somewhere of 33 points not so far found], Dec '06: 16 (11) [-300], Nov: 19 (15) [-218] **Break-Even days count as Win ones on the basis that if I haven't lost ... I must have won!
PLUS B/f BASIC PLAN (Phase 06B: 01/08/06-31/10/06) = +204 points .... within OVERALL (Phase 06B only) = +41 points gross (Gain-days in Phase 06B: Aug:- 14 Basic Plan (Overall 15) [-105 O/a]; Sep: 15 (13) [-201]; Oct: 17 (18) [+347])
PLUS B/f BASIC PLAN (Phase 06A: 01/04/06 to 31/7/06) = -366 points ..... within OVERALL (Phase 06A only) = -2656 points gross (Gain-days in Phase 06A: In Apr: Overall 11 from 29 bet-days [-957]; May: 15 from 31 [-174]; Jun: 15 from 30 [+408]; Jul: 15 from 31 [-1938])
Row 1 - No qualifier
Row 2 - No qualifier
Bets (Row 2): Short-list (Place Only) Combo, Ad hoc Supplementary Mop Up, Mistake (maybe): Strictly, a Sequential Double as today's Total Combo would be usual, but, as the stake is small, I've taken a chance EW @ SP, Discrepancy (Negligible) OVERALL +2
Row 3 - No qualifier
340 SoutA: ROSA DE MI CORAZON/WON F/c Evs Infiltrated on Support (3xNaps)
Bets: 123 (today tiny win single), & Total Combos BASIC PLAN +2
Place Only I
SoutA: RONNIE HOWE/Won
Bets: Basic, Xtra Combo (today a small win single) BASIC PLAN +1
Place Only II - No qualifier
Naps I
RONNIE HOWE/Won (Quadruple stake)
Bets: Basic, Double (today a small enhancement of the Basic bet), '2-Row Doubles' (with Row 1, today a further - tiny - enhancement of the Basic bet), Total Combo BASIC PLAN +4
Naps II - No selection
My Lay bets - Discontinued (for the time being)
Fancy
Naas: MICK THE MAN/2ND F/c 11/8
Bet: Tiny win
Potentially worthy rejects from Place Only II
SoutA: ROSA DE MI CORAZON/Won - ARSAD/2ND
Bets: Basic Place Only OVERALL +1
Tips
1) No Main tip [Bets (usually against advice as this is a Win, occasionally an EW, tip): Split of Small Win + (mainly) Place Only, to grand total of ? points (for a 'small/large' field) OVERALL N/A]
2) No endorsements over obstacles (Good words) today [Bet: Basic Place Only OVERALL N/A]
3) Other tip/s for fun (at negligible risk)
744 Gulf(USA): STALWART WOODSMAN F/c 8/1/NON RUN
850 Gulf(USA) No10 EIGHT DAYS APART F/c 6/1/ Late result - see tomorrow
More awaited if any [Bets: Miniscule Win OVERALL N/A]
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