2007-Feb-9
Diary for Feb 09 2007
OUTCOME: BASIC PLAN: +4 points (within OVERALL: -25)
PROSPECTS (as they seemed yesterday): I've short-listed just MILAN DEUX MILLE/WON just about (Place Only I). My Majority stats are not particularly encouraging (50W62L). My Odds stats, too, show a majority of losses over wins. I am risking very little. A Laura Luck day.
Summary (Day 311) C/F to 10 Feb (Day312Month11Week2.3Phase06CDay101) E&OE:
BASIC PLAN (Phase 06C only wef 01/11/06) deficit = -1 points net @ an average this Phase of -c0 point/day .... within OVERALL Phase 06C deficit of -392 points gross @ an average of -c4 points/day. Gain-days in Phase 06C: Feb: **7 B/PL (6 O/A), Jan '07: 21 (19) [-41: but there seems to be an error somewhere of 33 points not so far found], Dec '06: 16 (11) [-300], Nov: 19 (15) [-218] **Break-Even days count as Win ones on the basis that if I haven't lost ... I must have won!
PLUS B/f BASIC PLAN (Phase 06B: 01/08/06-31/10/06) = +204 points .... within OVERALL (Phase 06B only) = +41 points gross (Gain-days in Phase 06B: Aug:- 14 Basic Plan (Overall 15) [-105 O/a]; Sep: 15 (13) [-201]; Oct: 17 (18) [+347])
PLUS B/f BASIC PLAN (Phase 06A: 01/04/06 to 31/7/06) = -366 points ..... within OVERALL (Phase 06A only) = -2656 points gross (Gain-days in Phase 06A: In Apr: Overall 11 from 29 bet-days [-957]; May: 15 from 31 [-174]; Jun: 15 from 30 [+408]; Jul: 15 from 31 [-1938])
Rows 1 & 2 - No qualifier
Bets (Row 2): Short-list (Place Only) 'Combo' (an enhancement of the Place Only bet on Milan deux Mille), Ad hoc Supplementary Mop Up (Ditto), Mistake/s, Discrepancy (Negligible) OVERALL EVEN [+0.36]
Row 3 - No qualifier
Kemp: DUC DE REGNIERE/Won F/c 2/1 Infiltrated on Support (4xNaps - opposed by 1xNB)
Kemp: MILAN DEUX MILLE/Won F/c 9/4 Infiltrated on Support (2xNaps,3xNBs)
Bets: Place Only (Milan Deux Mille), 123 & Total Combos, Xtra Combo (Milan Deux Mille) BASIC PLAN +2
Place Only I
MILAN DEUX MILLE/Won
Bets: Basic, Xtra Combo BASIC PLAN +1
Place Only II
Kemp: DUC DE REGNIERE/Won/WYLDELLO/3RD - LASKARI/LOST (PU)
Bets: Basic BASIC PLAN EVEN [+0.33]
Naps I - No selection
Naps II
MILAN DEUX MILLE/Won
Bets: Total Combo BASIC PLAN EVEN [+0.14]
My Lay bets - Discontinued (for the time being)
Fancy - Potentially worthy rejects from Place Only II
Kemp: THAT LOOK/NON RUN
Added: Wolv. FAST HEART/2ND I had pencilled this in for a bet originally and dropped it on poor stats. In the end I was swayed into a Win bet on daylight in the odds to the 2nd Fav just before the off. I should have stuck to my guns, perhaps.
Added on price (In Running): NORSEMAN CATELINE/LOST
Bets: Basic Place Only/Win on Norseman Cataline OVERALL -2
Tips
1) Main tip to hand is LASKARI/pu F/c 7/2 In opposition to my short-listed runner, which is however at the weak end of my spectrum. I see no reason to depart from my usual bets.
Bets (against advice as this is a Win tip): Split of Small Win + (mainly) Place Only, to grand total of 27 points (for a 'small' field) Never in contention [OVERALL -27]
2) Endorsements over obstacles (Good words) today, including my dedicated stat for this bet category, at Kemp: MILAN DEUX MILLE/Won (52W56L) - THAT LOOK/Non run (24W22L) Added on price (In Running): NORSEMAN CATELINE/Lost
Bet: Basic Place Only/Win on Norseman Cataline [OVERALL +1]
3) Other tip/s for fun (at negligible risk)
550 NadA: MOONER (EW tip) F/c 7/1/LOST - yesterday
Race 9 Gulf(USA): SAVE THAT SONG F/c 12/1/LOST - yesterday
NadA: QUIJANO F/c 7/4/DONO DO RAIA F/c 10/1 - ASIATIC BOY F/c 8/11/Late results - see tomorrow
744 Gulf(USA): No1 THUNDER MAB F/c 3/1/Late result - see tomorrow
More awaited if any
Bets: Miniscule Win [OVERALL EVEN (-0.14)]
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