The Totopoly Kid

Bets on Tue Feb 06 2007
OUTCOME: BASIC PLAN: EVEN 0 points (within OVERALL: +8)
PROSPECTS (as they seemed yesterday): I've short-listed 3: THE SNURGLER/NON RUN (Row 2), EURO AMERICAN/NON RUN (Row 3) & COSMOLOGIST/NON RUN (Place Only I). My Majority stats are only encouraging about The Snurgler & Cosmologist but not about Euro American (61W85L). My Odds stats, however, are emphatically strong about The Snurgler & strong about Euro American, weak-ish (43W54L) & very weak (22W43L) about Cosmologist.
My commitment is modest, today, but it would hurt some, as usual, if there are failures To Place. I can be no more than hopeful, I think.

Summary (Day 308) C/F to 07 Feb (Day309Month11Week1.7Phase06CDay98) E&OE:
BASIC PLAN (Phase 06C only wef 01/11/06) surplus = +38 points net @ an average this Phase of +c0 point/day .... within OVERALL Phase 06C deficit of -317 points gross @ an average of -c3 points/day. Gain-days in Phase 06C: Feb: **5 B/PL (5 O/A) Jan '07: 21 (19) [-41: but there seems to be an error somewhere of 33 points to be traced] Dec '06: 16 (11) [-300] Nov: 19 (15) [-218] **Break-Even days count as Win ones on the basis that if I haven't lost ... I must have won!
PLUS B/f BASIC PLAN (Phase 06B: 01/08/06-31/10/06) = +204 points .... within OVERALL (Phase 06B only) = +41 points gross (Gain-days in Phase 06B: Aug:- 14 Basic Plan (Overall 15) [-105 O/a]; Sep: 15 (13) [-201];  Oct: 17 (18) [+347])
PLUS B/f BASIC PLAN (Phase 06A: 01/04/06 to 31/7/06) = -366 points ..... within OVERALL (Phase 06A only) = -2656 points gross (Gain-days in Phase 06A: In Apr: Overall 11 from 29 bet-days [-957]; May: 15 from 31 [-174]; Jun: 15 from 30 [+408]; Jul: 15 from 31 [-1938])

Row 1 - No qualifier

Row 2
430 Sedg. THE SNURGLER/Non run F/c 4/6 Min value odds according to my Odds Configuration stats + 20% = 1.57 New odds stat stakes enhancer (Row 2) x 1.54 Old stat stakes enhancer x 1.27
Bets: Basic, Flat FS (would be 1st rung adjusted if I went for Remedial Mode) + Capped Mop Up, '2-Row Treble' (with Row 1 normally, today an enhancement of the Basic bet), Capped Place Only, the 123 Combo (Sequential Double), Total & Xtra Combos (both partially Capped), Short-list (Place Only) 'Combo,' Ad hoc Supplementary Mop Ups including Anshabil & Cosmologist, Mistakes (1) by Bet365 (yesterday) corrected (+4.68), (2) Unnecessary 'de-cap' of the Multi Fancy/1 Xtra i.e., enhanced, Discrepancy (Negligible)      BASIC PLAN EVEN plus OVERALL +5

Row 3
230 Sedg. EURO AMERICAN/Non run F/c 10/11 Min val odds + 20% = 1.83 New odds stat stakes enhancer (General) x 1.81 Old stat stakes reducer x 0.72
EURO AMERICAN again/Non run - on Infiltration, due to Support (2xNaps,3xNBs)
Bets: Place Only, the 3 Combos (as per above)     BASIC PLAN EVEN

Place Only I - Rows 2 & 3, and
MarkR: COSMOLOGIST/Non run - ANSHABIL/Non run
Bets: Basic (Capped on The Snurgler), Xtra Combo    BASIC PLAN EVEN

Place Only II
Sedg: SILLY WUPPLE/Non run
Bets: Basic     BASIC PLAN EVEN

Naps I 
EURO AMERICAN/Non run (Double stake)
Bets: Basic, Double (today an enhancement of the Basic bet), 2-Row Doubles (with Row 1 normally, today a further enhancement of the basic bet), Partially Capped Total Combo     BASIC PLAN EVEN

Naps II
MarkR: ANSHABIL/Non run
Bets: Partially Capped Total Combo     BASIC PLAN EVEN

My Lay bets - Discontinued (for the time being)

Fancy - Potentially worthy rejects from Place Only II
MarkR: YOU'LL DO FOR ME/Non run - CITY STREETS/Non run
Sedg: MISS PROSS/Non run
SoutA: BERNASCONI/WON
Bets: Basic Place Only, Multi Fancy (EW4Fold Accum) + enhanced Xtra, Multi Fancy Combo (with the Xtra Combo - a Capped EW8F Accum) + De-capped Xtra     OVERALL +3

Tips
1) No Main tip [Bets (usually against advice as this is a Win, occasionally EW, tip): Split of Small Win + (mainly) Place Only, to grand total of ? points (for a 'small/large' field) OVERALL N/A]
2) Endorsements over obstacles (Good words) today, including my dedicated stat for this bet category, at
MarkR: No qualifier
Sedg. EURO AMERICAN/Non run (32W48L)
Bet: Basic Place Only     [OVERALL EVEN]
3) Other tip/s for fun (at negligible risk)
130 Durb(RSA): MARCUS AURELIUS/LOST
750 Phil(USA): No1 GWEN'S SONG F/c 6/1/Late result - see tomorrow
More awaited if any
Bets: Miniscule Win     [OVERALL so far EVEN (-0.27)]