2007-Feb-3
Diary for Feb 03 2007
OUTCOME: BASIC PLAN: +14 points (within OVERALL: +53)
PROSPECTS (as they seemed yesterday): I've short-listed 3: DETROIT CITY/WON (Row 2), RAPID CITY/2ND & SEA LAND/WON (both Place Only I). My Majority stats are good on all, but diluted by complications. My Odds stats are emphatically strong on Detroit City but, on other two, weak enough (Rapid City especially).
I find it encouraging when, as per today, favoured tipsters from the Naps Table have Napped runners that are included also amongst my peripheral choices from the Selection Boxes. I have retained 1 of these (+ Detroit City & Rapid City) in my Naps II Row. Not an easy day for picking winners, I think.
Summary (Day 305) C/F to 04 Feb (Day306Month11Week1.4Phase06CDay95) E&OE:
BASIC PLAN (Phase 06C only wef 01/11/06) deficit = -66 points net @ an average this Phase of -c1 point/day .... within OVERALL Phase 06C deficit of -473 points gross @ an average of -c5 points/day. Gain-days in Phase 06C: Feb: **2 B/PL (2 O/A) Jan '07: 21 (19) [-41] Dec '06: 16 (11) [-300] Nov: 19 (15) [-218] **Break-Even days count as Win ones on the basis that if I haven't lost ... I must have won!
PLUS B/f BASIC PLAN (Phase 06B: 01/08/06-31/10/06) = +204 points .... within OVERALL (Phase 06B only) = +41 points gross (Gain-days in Phase 06B: Aug:- 14 Basic Plan (Overall 15) [-105 O/a]; Sep: 15 (13) [-201]; Oct: 17 (18) [+347])
PLUS B/f BASIC PLAN (Phase 06A: 01/04/06 to 31/7/06) = -366 points ..... within OVERALL (Phase 06A only) = -2656 points gross (Gain-days in Phase 06A: In Apr: Overall 11 from 29 bet-days [-957]; May: 15 from 31 [-174]; Jun: 15 from 30 [+408]; Jul: 15 from 31 [-1938])
Row 1 - No qualifier
Row 2
210 Sand. DETROIT CITY/Won F/c 4/11 Min value odds according to my Odds Configuration stat + 20% = 1.32 New odds stats stakes enhancer (Row 2) x 12.00 (based on only 14 results: 13W1L - I call this "x 12.00") Old stat stakes enhancer x 1.95
Bets: Capped Basic, Flat FS (should be 4th rung, but that presently computes too high for my code "Delta Quadrant" betting), 2-Row Treble (with Row 1 normally, but today an enhancement of the Basic bet), Capped Place Only, the 3 Combos + Xtras, Short-list (Place Only) 'Combo,' Ad hoc Supplementary Mop Ups on the above, Mistake: SP Xtra bet on Detroit City should have been at SPplus with Centrebet, Discrepancy (Negligible) BASIC PLAN +11 plus OVERALL +4
Row 3
150 Weth. ALLISTATHEBARRISTA/LOST F/c 2/1 Infiltrated on Support (3xNaps)
Bets: 123 & Total Combos + Xtras BASIC PLAN EVEN [+0.06]
Place Only I - Row 2 and
LingA: RAPID CITY/Won - SEA LAND/Won
Stra: INGRATITUDE/LOST - RIO DE JANIERO/WON
Bets: Basic (Capped re Detroit City), Xtra Combo + LateXtras BASIC PLAN +2
Place Only II - No qualifier
Naps I - No selection
Naps II
RAPID CITY/2nd (Double stake) - DETROIT CITY/Won (Double stake) - RIO DE JANIERO/Won
Bets: Total Combo + Xtras BASIC PLAN +2
My Lay bets - Discontinued (for the time being)
Fancy - Potentially worthy rejects from Place Only II
LingA: TIME SHARE/2nd - MALTESE FALCON/2ND
Bets: Basic (Place Only) OVERALL +1
Tips
1) Main tip was ANDREAS/3RD F/c 13/2 135 Sand
Bet (against advice, as this is an EW tip): Split of Small Win + (mainly) Place Only, to grand total of 27 points (for a 'small' field) OVERALL +32]
2) Endorsements over obstacles (Good words) today, including my dedicated stat for this bet category, at
Sand: DETROIT CITY/Won (17W27L)
Stra: LEO MCGARRY/WON (66W57L)
Bets: Basic Place Only [OVERALL +1]
3) Other tip/s for fun (at negligible risk):
950 Gulf(USA) VIGOROUS F/c 8/1/LOST - yesterday
No2 SPY MASTER F/c 8/1 641 Gulf(USA/Late result - see tomorrow
No1 INVASOR F/c 6/5 1023 Gulf(USA/Ditto
Sand: CHILLING PLACE/LOST - ACCORDELLO/LOST/LYES GREEN/LOST - RAMBLING MINSTER/WON
More tips awaited if any
Bets: Miniscule Win [OVERALL EVEN (-0.12)]
0 comments | add a comment