The Totopoly Kid

Bets on Sun Jan 28 2007 Sunday Mode not applied
OUTCOME: A "Cash-flow buster" day BASIC PLAN -120 (within OVERALL -169)
PROSPECTS (as they seemed yesterday): Five short-listed [2W3L]: MEDICI CODE/WON & PICADOR/LOST (Row 1), LOPINOT/WON (Row 2), L'ANTARTIQUE/FELL (Row 3), PRIMARILY/LOST (Place Only II). My (Sundays) Majority stats are very encouraging of the win about all except Primarily. (Not that a similar picture yesterday guaranteed anything.) Note: The (Sundays) Majority stat on L'Antartique is based on only 4 results (3W1L); also, the Odds stats on Primarily are indifferent, hence its location in Place Only II. Otherwise, I am quite hopeful today. I've not activiated Sunday Mode to halve stakes, for example, though I may yet regret this [Yes. One advantage of Sunday Mode, which today's experience demonstrates, is that, when activated, it counter-balances to a degree the reduced reliability of the Selection Boxes' "Consensus Favourites" as indicators. A few tipsters more contributing selections might have thrown up a cautionary note on the extra risk that pertained if, in particular, one backed Picador. I am especially disappointed that no less than 3 of my few favoured tipsters (2 from the Naps Table plus Newmarket from the Selection Box), seemingly, did not pick up on this extra risk.]
Capped bets abound - which do make me vulnerable to significant loss collectively
[Yes, but thank goodness, at least, they were Capped!!!].
My gut feeling, however, is positive.
  Oops.

Summary (Day 299) C/F to Mon, Jan 29th (Day300Month10Week4.7+1Phase06CDay88) E&OE:
BASIC PLAN (Phase 06C only wef 01/11/06) deficit = -25 points net @ an average this Phase of -c0 point/day .... within OVERALL Phase 06C deficit of -422 points gross @ an average of -c5 points/day. Gain-days in Phase 06C: Jan '07: *21 B/PL (*19 O/A) Dec '06: 16 (11) [-300] Nov: 19 (15) [-218] *Break-Even days count as Win ones on the basis that if I haven't lost ... I must have won!
PLUS B/f BASIC PLAN (Phase 06B: 01/08/06-31/10/06) = +204 points .... within OVERALL (Phase 06B only) = +41 points gross (Gain-days in Phase 06B: Aug:- 14 Basic Plan (Overall 15) [-105 O/a]; Sep: 15 (13) [-201];  Oct: 17 (18) [+347])
PLUS B/f BASIC PLAN (Phase 06A: 01/04/06 to 31/7/06) = -366 points ..... within OVERALL (Phase 06A only) = -2656 points gross (Gain-days in Phase 06A: In Apr: Overall 11 from 29 bet-days [-957]; May: 15 from 31 [-174]; Jun: 15 from 30 [+408]; Jul: 15 from 31 [-1938])

Row 1
335 Wolv. MEDICI CODE/Won F/c 2/5 Min value odds according to my Odds Config. stat + 20% = 1.48 New odds stat stakes enhancer (Row 1) x 2.32 Old stat stakes enhancer x 1.70
435 Wolv. PICADOR/Lost F/c 8/13 Min val odds + 20% = 1.30 New odds stat stakes enhancer (Row 1) x 2.32 Old stat stakes enhancer x 4.00 (based on 30 Sunday results: 24W6L)
Bets: Capped Basic, Capped Star + Capped Mop Ups, 2-Row Doubles (with Naps I), Capped 2-Row Treble (with Row 2), Capped Place Only, Capped 123 Combo (incl. EWTreble) + Xtras, Total (incl. EWTreble) & Xtra Combos (both Capped) + *Xtras
I made an error of judgement following Medici Code's win. *The Xtra bet had turned into a composite Sequential Double on it and Picador. Considering how much was already at risk on the latter alone (3xWin and 1xPlace Only bets @ maximum Capped levels), I should have aborted the 2nd of the Sequential bets and rested on the minor benefit won for the account by Medici Code's success   
BASIC PLAN -62

Row 2
115 KempA: LOPINOT/Won F/c 4/5 Min val odds + 20% = 1.88 New odds stat stakes enhancer (Row 2) x 1.51 Old stat stakes enhancer x 4.00
Bets: Capped Basic, Capped FS (from 3rd rung) + Capped Mop Up, 2-Row Treble (with Row 1), Capped Place Only, the 3 Combos + Xtras (as per above), Short-list (Place Only) 'Combo,' Ad hoc Supplementary Capped Mop Ups on the above three + L'Antartique (Capped) + Primarily (not Capped), Mistake: I've accounted the 2nd bet of the above mentioned composite Xtra Sequential Double as "a mistake" (i.e., within "Overall") purely for administrative convenience, Discrepancy (*-0.51)     BASIC PLAN +8 plus OVERALL [*-49] * adjusted to -50

Row 3
205 Kelso. L'ANTARTIQUE/Fell F/c 8/13 Min val odds + 20% = 2.32 New odds stat stakes enhancer (General) x 1.80 Old stat stakes enhancer x *2.00 (based on only 4 Sundays results: 3W1L, *I call that "x 2.00")
Bets: Place Only, the 3 Combos + Xtras For my multiples, an unfortunate fall, today of all days, but at least positioned cautiously in Row 3 (i.e., no win single)     BASIC PLAN -9

Place Only I - Rows 1, 2 & 3
Bets: Basic, Capped Xtra Combo + LateXtras     BASIC PLAN -10

Place Only II
Wolv: PRIMARILY/Lost - BELDON HILL/3RD (on Betfair)
Bet: Basic     BASIC PLAN -2

Naps I
L'ANTARTIQUE/Fell, MEDICI CODE/Won &, Double stake, PICADOR/Lost
Bets: Basic (Capped on Picador), Doubles, 2-Row Doubles (with Row 1), Capped Total Combo + Xtras     BASIC PLAN -44

Naps II - No selection
My Lay bets - Discontinued (for the time being)
Fancy - Potentially worthy reject from Place Only II - No selection

Tips
1) No Main tip [Bet (most often against advice, as this is a Win, or occasionally EW, tip): Split Small Win/mainly Place Only, to grand total of ? points (for a 'small/large' field) OVERALL N/A]
2) Endorsements over obstacles (Good words) today, including my dedicated stat for this bet category, at Kelso: No selection - Added: CASH BONANZA/LOST (50W55L)
Bets: Basic Place Only     OVERALL -2
3) Other tip/s for fun (at negligible risk):
HONOUR SCORE F/c 28/10 535 Newm(RSA/WON - yesterday
709 Gulf(RSA) No 1 RESCUE PARTY F/c 4/1/WON - yesterday
1045 Gulf(USA) No5 SILVER WAGON F/c 6/1/LOST - yesterday
705 TurfW(USA) EXCLUSIVE/NON RUN F/c 3/1
1235 Turf(RSA) WIZARDRY/WON F/c 6/10
250 Leop(Ir) LOUNAOS/LOST F/c 14/1
Bets: Miniscule Win (except Wizardry: 5 pts)     [OVERALL +4]