The Totopoly Kid

Bets on Wed Jan 24 2007
OUTCOME: BASIC PLAN +11 (within OVERALL +19)
PROSPECTS (as they seemed yesterday): One runner found for my short-list, marginally: HIGH CALIBRE/WON (Place Only I). My stats indicate less than 50/50 chance for the win. Another "Laura Luck" day.

Summary (Day 295) C/F to Thu, Jan 25th (Day296Month10Week4.4Phase06CDay84) E&OE:
BASIC PLAN (Phase 06C only wef 01/11/06) surplus = +83 points net @ an average this Phase of +c1 point/day .... within OVERALL Phase 06C deficit of -274 points gross @ an average of -c3 points/day. Gain-days in Phase 06C: Jan '07: *19 B/PL (*17 O/A) Dec '06: 16 (11) [-300] Nov: 19 (15) [-218] *Break-Even days count as Win ones on the basis that if I haven't lost, I must have won.
PLUS B/f BASIC PLAN (Phase 06B: 01/08/06-31/10/06) = +204 points .... within OVERALL (Phase 06B only) = +41 points gross (Gain-days in Phase 06B: Aug:- 14 Basic Plan (Overall 15) [-105 O/a]; Sep: 15 (13) [-201];  Oct: 17 (18) [+347])
PLUS B/f BASIC PLAN (Phase 06A: 01/04/06 to 31/7/06) = -366 points ..... within OVERALL (Phase 06A only) = -2656 points gross (Gain-days in Phase 06A: In Apr: Overall 11 from 29 bet-days [-957]; May: 15 from 31 [-174]; Jun: 15 from 30 [+408]; Jul: 15 from 31 [-1938])

Rows 1 & 2 - No qualifier
Bets (Row 2): Short-list (Place Only) 'Combo' on High Calibre, Mistake(s), Discrepancy (Negligible)     OVERALL +1

Row 3
340 Catt. HIGH CALIBRE/Won F/c 4/5 By Infiltration, on weight of Support, taking a chance (1xNap)
[For info: Min value odds according to my Odds Config. stat +20% = 2.77 (not likely to be avail) New odds stat stakes reducer (General) x 0.96 Old stat stakes reducer x 0.71]
Bets: Place Only (added after all), the 3 Combos (all a single small Win bet today)     BASIC PLAN +6

Place Only I
HIGH CALIBRE/Won - see above
Bets: Basic, Xtra Combo     BASIC PLAN +4

Place Only II
Catt: PETERS PRIDE/WON
Bet: Basic     BASIC PLAN +1

Naps I  - No selection
Naps II
HIGH CALIBRE/Won (Double stake) - see above
Bets: Total Combo     BASIC PLAN EVEN [+0.20]

My Lay bets - Discontinued (for the time being)

Fancy - Reject from Place Only II Row, taking a chance
LingA: ART INVESTOR/3RD (Betfair)
Bets: Basic (Place Only)     OVERALL EVEN [+0.40]

Tips
1) No Main tip -" trappy" say my tipsters [Bet (most often against advice, as this is a Win, or occasionally EW, tip): Split Small Win/mainly Place Only, to grand total of ? points (for a 'small/large' field) OVERALL N/A]
2) Endorsements over obstacles (Good words) today, including my dedicated stat for this bet category, at
Hunt: BUSTER HYVONEN/WON (60W57L) - Added (due to non-runner): ANOTHER PROMISE//WON (60W57L)
Catt: FAASEL/WON (60W57L) - THUNDER ROCK/2ND (25W30L) - HIGH CALIBRE/Won (15W23L)
Bets: Basic Place Only     [OVERALL +6]
3) Other tip/s for fun (at negligible risk):
559 Phil(USA) NEW YORK CAT F/c 6/1/LOST - yesterday
600 Newm(RSA) DECIDEDLY GREEK F/c 10/1/LOST - yesterday
110 Pau(Fr) SENDARI/WON sp
530 Grey(RSA) WINTER RAINBOW F/c 5/1/Late result - see tomorrow
1015 Gulf(USA) CATCH MY SMOKE F/c 4/1/Late result - see tomorrow
Bets: Miniscule Win     [OVERALL EVEN (+0.44)]