2006-Sep-23
Diary for Sep 23 2006
Day174Month6Week4.2 (Phase 06B Day54)
PROSPECTS
My stats are only OK for the win on Row 3 qualifiers.
A failure of the major win tip, if it arrives, even to Place can hurt. Otherwise, the stakes are modest.
OVERALL -1 points (including BASIC PLAN -4 point)
Financial Summary E&OE:-
C/F to Sep Week 4.3 (Day175 Phase B - Day 55):
OVERALL Phase 06B only (wef 01/08/06) deficit = -425 points @ an average of -c8/day…..including BASIC PLAN (Phase 06B) deficit = -167 points @ an average of -c3/day
Gain-days in Phase 06B:In Aug: 15 Overall (14 Basic Plan) from 31 bet-days; in Sep: 9 (12)
PLUS
OVERALL Phase 06A only (01/04/06 to 31/7/06) deficit frozen (for comparison purposes) @ -2656 points ... including BASIC PLAN @ -366 points
Gain-days in Phase 06A:
In Apr: 11 Overall from 29 bet-days [-957]; May: 15 from 31 [-174]; Jun: 15 from 30 [+408]; Jul: 15 from 31 [-1938]
A "Glossary on the Philosophy" is available at the end of the latest entry.
Rows 1 & 2 - No qualifier
Supplementary bet: Short-list Combo
The poor performance of this bet cost me a profit on the day OVERALL -12
Row 3
220 Ches: SHAKE ON IT/2ND F/c Evs Min value odds according to my 'Odds Configuration' stat + 20% = 2.32 New odds stat stakes enhancer (General) x 1.57 Old stat stakes reducer x 0.64
240 MarkR. AMICELLI/WON F/c 4/6 Min val odds + 20% = 2.17 New odds stat stakes reducer (General) x 0.96 Old stat stakes reducer x 0.89 Halve stakes as over obstacles
350 IS IT ME/2ND F/c 1/2 Min val odds + 20% = 1.64 New odds stat stakes enhancer (General) X 1.26 Old stat stakes reducer x 0.70 Halve stakes as over obstacles
Bets: Place Only, the 3 Combos BASIC PLAN -2
Naps I
SHAKE ON IT/2nd -see above
Bets: Basic, Double (as no 2nd qualifier, an enhancement of the single bet), 2-Row Double (ditto), Total Combo The Doubles were overlooked in error BASIC PLAN EVEN [-0.23]
Naps II
Hayd: ADHAR/2ND F/c Evs
Bets: Total Combo BASIC PLAN EVEN [-0.45]
Place Only I - on Row 3
SHAKE ON IT/2nd - PEARL KING/LOST - AMICELLI/Won - IS IT ME/2nd - OUR FUGITIVE/LOST (multiple only)
Bets: Basic, Xtra Combo BASIC PLAN -1
Place Only II - on all, or from,
ANGELETTA/3RD - PUKKA/LOST - KATCHIT/WON - AJHAR/2nd - LAKE SHABLA/LOST - IRISH WOLF/3RD/ELLERSLIE TOM/LOST - SESMEN/LOST - MALYANA/2ND(multiple only)/TARTEEL/WON
Bets: Basic BASIC PLAN EVEN [-0.45]
Fancies
OUR FUGITIVE/Lost - MALYANA/2nd
Bets: Basic Place Only OVERALL EVEN [-0.25]
My Lay bets - None contemplated
Tips
Late result from yesterday: LE DAUPHIN 921 Monm(USA/3RD
POST INVADER 935 Cald(USA/Did not win
Bets: Tiny win [OVERALL EVEN (-0.24)]
The Lay tip to hand is KIRKLEES 235 Asco/3RD I decided not to Lay it - wrong decision, this time [OVERALL N/A]
The major Win tip to hand is IRISH WOLF 210 MarkR/3rd
Bet: Small win, the balance Place Only to total 30 points [OVERALL +14]
Good word on MINE/LOST - WATER GLADE/NON RUN
Bet: Tiny win [OVERALL EVEN (-0.10)]
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