The Totopoly Kid

Results of bets on Mon Jan 15 2007
Day286Month10Week3.1Phase06CDay74
OUTCOME: BASIC PLAN +5 (within OVERALL +30)
PROSPECTS (as they seemed yesterday):
3 in my short-list: SHIP'S HILL/WON (Row 2) & THENFORD STAR/WON (Place Only II) are strong on my Majority stat, but my Odds stats on the latter are, respectively, 50/50ish & a lot worse for the win.
On DOM D'ORGEVAL/WON (Row 3) my Odds stats are excellent but the Majority stat of 60W85L is not fully endorsive, plus Computerman opposes.
So long as these, and any main tip that comes in, at least Place, the afternoon should work out acceptably.

Financial Summary E&OE:-
C/F to Jan Week 3.2 Day 287 (Phase 06C: Day 75)
BASIC PLAN (Phase 06C only wef 01/11/06) surplus = +73 @ an average this Phase of +c1/day .... within OVERALL Phase 06C deficit of -351 points gross @ an average of -c5/day deary me. (Or should I say 'dreary?' Maybe the tide is turning.) Gain-days in Phase 06C: Jan '07: *13 B/pl (*10 O/a) Dec '06: 16 (11) [-300 O/a] Nov: 19 (15) [-218] *Break-Even days count as Win ones - a ruling I introduced a while back on the basis that if I haven't lost, I must have won.
PLUS B/f BASIC PLAN (Phase 06B: 01/08/06-31/10/06) = +204 points .... within OVERALL (Phase 06B only) = +41 points gross (Gain-days in Phase 06B: Aug:- 14 Basic Plan (Overall 15) [-105 O/a]; Sep: 15 (13) [-201];  Oct: 17 (18) [+347])
PLUS B/f BASIC PLAN (Phase 06A: 01/04/06 to 31/7/06) = -366 points ..... within  OVERALL Phase 06A only = -2656 points gross (Gain-days in Phase 06A: In Apr: Overall 11 from 29 bet-days [-957]; May: 15 from 31 [-174]; Jun: 15 from 30 [+408]; Jul: 15 from 31 [-1938])   

Rows 1 - No qualifier

Row 2
150 Fake. SHIP'S HILL/Won F/c 4/5 Min value odds according to my Odds Config. stat +20% = 1.83 New odds stat stakes enhancer (Row 2) x 1.41 Old stat stakes enhancer x 2.67
Bets: Token Basic, FS (1st rung) + Mop Up, 2-Row 'Treble' (with Row 1 but today a tiny enhancement of the Basic bet), Ad hoc Supplementary Mop Ups on Ship's Hill, DOM D'ORGEVAL/Won & High Life, Short-list (Place Only) 'Combo,' 123 Combo (Sequential Double today), Total & Xtra Combos, Mistake by omission: Monte Major/WON should have been included in Place Only II, Discrepancy (Negligible)     BASIC PLAN EVEN [+0.35] plus OVERALL +8

Row 3
220 Fake. DOM D'ORGEVAL/Won F/c 2/7 Min val odds +20% = 1.31 New odds stat stakes enhancer (General) x 4.57 (on 39 results: 32W7L) Old stat stakes reducer x 0.71
Bets: Capped Place Only, 123 Combo (Sequential Double today), Total & Xtra Combos    BASIC PLAN EVEN [+0.39]

Place Only I - Rows 2 & 3 and
Plum: HIGH LIFE/LOST
Bet: Basic, Xtra Combo     BASIC PLAN -1

Place Only II
Fake: MALETTON/WON - THENFORD STAR/Won - just
Plum: WINGMAN/2ND/SANTANDO/WON
Wolv: SPIRIT OF CONISTAN/2ND + MONTE MAJOR/WON - no bet (in error) - RAFFERTY/2ND - MY MIRASOL/2ND
Bets: Basic     BASIC PLAN +4

Naps I
DOM D'ORDEVAL/Won - see above
Bets: Tiny Basic, 'Double' (today a tiny enhancement of the Basic bet), 2-Row 'Double' (with Row 1 normally but today a further enhancement of the Basic bet), Total Combo     BASIC PLAN +1

Naps II
SHIP'S HILL/Won & HIGH LIFE/Lost - see above
Bets: Total Combo     BASIC PLAN -1

My Lay bets & Fancies - Both Rows discontinued (for the time being)

Tips
1) Main tip to hand is BRENDAR/WON F/c 9/4 400 Plum
Bet (against advice, as these are win, occasionally EW, tips): Split Small Win/Place Only, to grand total of 16 points (for a 'small' field)     [OVERALL +15]
2) Endorsements over obstacles (Good words), including my dedicated stat for this bet category, at Fake: DOM D'ORGEVAL/Won (42W31L) - MALETTON/Won (W10L18) - THENFORD STAR/Won (11W16L)
Plum: SANTANDO/Won/WINGMAN/2nd (42W31L)
Bets: Place Only     [OVERALL +3]
3) Other tip/s: Due to disappointing results, I'm discontinuing this category.
940 Gulf(USA) CARNERA F/c 5/2/LOST - from yesterday     [OVERALL -2]