2007-Jan-13
Diary for Jan 14 2007
Day285Month10Week2.7SPhase06CDay73
OUTCOME: BASIC PLAN EVEN (within OVERALL -9)
PROSPECTS (as they seemed yesterday):
One in my short-list, FAIRNILEE (Place Only I) strong Majority stat, but my Odds stats on it are degrees worse than 50/50 for the win. I hope to break even at least.
Financial Summary E&OE:-
C/F to Jan Week 3.1 Day 286 (Phase 06C: Day 74)
BASIC PLAN (Phase 06C only wef 01/11/06) surplus = +68 @ an average this Phase of +c1/day .... within OVERALL Phase 06C deficit of -381 points gross @ an average of -c5/day deary me (or should I say 'dreary?' But maybe the tide is turning.). Gain-days in Phase 06C: Jan '07: *12 B/pl (*9 O/a) Dec '06: 16 (11) [-300 O/a] Nov: 19 (15) [-218] *Break-Even days count as Win ones - a ruling I introduced a while back on the basis that if I haven't lost, I must have won.
PLUS B/f BASIC PLAN (Phase 06B: 01/08/06-31/10/06) = +204 points .... within OVERALL (Phase 06B only) = +41 points gross (Gain-days in Phase 06B: Aug:- 14 Basic Plan (Overall 15) [-105 O/a]; Sep: 15 (13) [-201]; Oct: 17 (18) [+347])
PLUS B/f BASIC PLAN (Phase 06A: 01/04/06 to 31/7/06) = -366 points ..... within OVERALL Phase 06A only = -2656 points gross (Gain-days in Phase 06A: In Apr: Overall 11 from 29 bet-days [-957]; May: 15 from 31 [-174]; Jun: 15 from 30 [+408]; Jul: 15 from 31 [-1938])
Rows 1 & 2 - No qualifier
Bets (Row2): Ad hoc Supplementary Mop Up on FAIRNILEE/WON, Short-list (Place Only) 'Combo,' Mistake: Annoyingly, I failed to match my intended Place Only bet on Fairnilee - it cost me a gain on Basic Plan that would have been a small off-set against the Overall deficit caused by today's Tips Row, Discrepancy (Negligible) OVERALL EVEN [0.00]
Row 3 - No qualifier
105 KempA. FAIRNILEE/Won F/c 9/4 Infiltrated on Support (1xNP[Newmarket])
(For info: Min value odds according to my Odds Config. stat +20% = 2.64 New odds stat stakes enhancer (General) x 1.20 Old stat stakes enhancer x 1.70)
Bets: 123 Combo (Double stake win bet today), Xtra Combo (enhancement of the existing win bet), Total Combo/+ Xtras if any (pending Naps I &/or II selection/s) BASIC PLAN EVEN [+0.48]
Place Only I - Row 3
Bet: Basic, Xtra Combo Place Only bet not matched BASIC PLAN EVEN [+0.41]
Place Only II
Kemp: BELVEDERE VIXEN/LOST
Bets: Basic BASIC PLAN -1
Naps I
FAIRNILEE/Won - see above
Bets: Tiny Basic, 'Double' (today a tiny enhancement of the Basic bet), 2-Row 'Double' (with Row 1 normally but today a further enhancement of the Basic bet), Total Combo (ditto) BASIC PLAN EVEN [+0.11]
Naps II - No selection
My Lay bets & Fancies - Both Rows discontinued (for the time being)
Tips
1) No Main tip [Bet (nearly always, of late, against advice, as these are win, occasionally EW, tips): Split Small Win/Place Only, to grand total of ? points (for a 'large' field) OVERALL N/A]
2) Endorsements over obstacles (Good words), including my dedicated stat for this bet category: [Bets: Place Only OVERALL N/A]
3) Other tip/s: 910 Gulf(USA) ON A CLOUD F/c 5/2/LOST - from yesterday
940 Gulf(USA) No8 CARNERA F/c 5/2/Late result - see tomorrow
155 Scot(RSA) BILBOA F/c 3/1/LOST
Leop(Ir): SOUND WITNESS/LOST - BREATHING FIRE/LOST/NEW MOUNT PRINCE/LOST
Bets: Tiny/Small win [OVERALL -9]
0 comments | add a comment


