2007-Jan-13
Diary for Jan 13 2007
Day284Month10Week2.6Phase06CDay72
OUTCOME: Better than feared BASIC PLAN +7 (within OVERALL +28)
PROSPECTS (as they seemed yesterday):
I've found today hard to read. After much deliberation 4 [3W-1PL] made it into my short-list, 3 strong, according to my Majority stats, but only GUNGADU/WON (chanced in Row 2) encouraging across the board, and even that's significantly opposed. My Odds stats on the others are degrees worse than 50/50 for the win and made it just into my Place Only Rows. Today could go well, but I'll be surprised if it does. Very much another Laura Luck day, I would say.
Financial Summary E&OE:-
C/F to Jan Week 2.7 Day 285 (Phase 06C: Day 73)
BASIC PLAN (Phase 06C only wef 01/11/06) surplus = +68 @ an average this Phase of +c1/day .... within OVERALL Phase 06C deficit of -372 points gross @ an average of -c5/day deary me (or should I say 'dreary?' But maybe the tide is turning?). Gain-days in Phase 06C: Jan '07: *11 B/pl (*9 O/a) Dec '06: 16 (11) [-300 O/a] Nov: 19 (15) [-218] *Break-Even days count as Win ones - a ruling I introduced a while back on the basis that if I haven't lost, I must have won.
PLUS B/f BASIC PLAN (Phase 06B: 01/08/06-31/10/06) = +204 points .... within OVERALL (Phase 06B only) = +41 points gross (Gain-days in Phase 06B: Aug:- 14 Basic Plan (Overall 15) [-105 O/a]; Sep: 15 (13) [-201]; Oct: 17 (18) [+347])
PLUS B/f BASIC PLAN (Phase 06A: 01/04/06 to 31/7/06) = -366 points ..... within OVERALL Phase 06A only = -2656 points gross (Gain-days in Phase 06A: In Apr: Overall 11 from 29 bet-days [-957]; May: 15 from 31 [-174]; Jun: 15 from 30 [+408]; Jul: 15 from 31 [-1938])
My Glossary on the Philosophy is at the base of this entry.Row 1 - No qualifier
Row 2
200 Warw. GUNGADU/Won F/c 8/15 Min value odds according to my Odds Config. stat +20% = 1.97 New odds stat stakes enhancer (Row 2) x 1.48 Old stat stakes enhancer x 1.62
Bets: Token Basic, 1st rung FS (enhancer x 1.68) + Mop Up, Ad hoc Supplementary Mop Ups on PRINCELET/2ND, DEN OF INIQUITY/WON & SHREWD INVESTOR/WON, 2-Row 'Treble' (a tiny enhancement of the Basic bet today), 123 Combo (an enhancement of the Basic bet today), Total & Xtra Combos + Xtras, Short-list (Place Only) 'Combo,' Mistake/s, Discrepancy (Negligible) BASIC PLAN +1 plus OVERALL +7
Row 3 - No qualifier
Place Only I - Row 2 plus
Kemp: PRINCELET/2nd
Warw: DEN OF INIQUITY/Won
Weth: CANADA STREET/2ND
Bet: Basic, Xtra Combo + LateXtra BASIC PLAN +3
Place Only II
Kemp: TROUBLE AT BAY/2ND - BARBER'S SHOP/2ND/SECRET PLOY/WON - RACING DEMON/FELL
Warw: IL DUCE/LOST - LABELTHOU/WON
Weth: SHREWD INVESTOR/Won
Wolv: KITCHEN SINK/2ND
Bets: Basic BASIC PLAN +4
Naps I - No selection
Naps II
PRINCELET/2nd, LABELTHOU/Won (Double stake) & RACING DEMON/Fell - see above
Bet: Total Combo + Xtras BASIC PLAN -1
My Lay bets & Fancies - Both Rows discontinued (for the time being)
Tips
1) Main tip to hand was COUSIN NICKY/3RD F/c 5/1 350 Kemp
Bet (nearly always, of late, against advice, as these are win, occasionally EW, tips): Split Small Win/Place Only, to grand total of 12 points (for a 'large' field) [OVERALL +10]
2) Endorsements over jumps (Good words), including my dedicated stat for this bet category: Kemp: PRINCE ARY/2ND (42W31L) - PRINCELET/2nd (30W38L)
Warw: GUNGADU/Won (48W55L) - LABELTHOU/Won (31W47L)
Weth: WILLIAM BONNEY/LOST (8W18L)
Bets: Place Only [OVERALL +1]
3) Other tip/s: 910 Gulf(USA) MISS TIZZYNOW F/c 8/1/WON - from yesterday
1200 Keni(RSA) BILL OF RIGHTS F/c 2/1/3RD
910 Gulf(USA) No 2 ON A CLOUD F/c 5/2/Late result - see tomorrow
Kemp: FINGER ON THE PULSE/DALARAM/BOTH LOST
Warw: LADALKO/WON
Bets: Tiny/Small win [OVERALL +2]
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