The Totopoly Kid

Results of bets on Fri Jan 12 2007
Day283Month10Week2.5Phase06CDay71
OUTCOME: BASIC PLAN -19 (within OVERALL -35)
PROSPECTS (as they seemed yesterday):
2 in my short-list, neither specially strong I think: PAY ATTENTION/LOST (Row 3) has the better stats in my records but is significantly opposed. Similarly opposed is NORTON SAPPHIRE/WON (Place Only I), 50/50 ish for the win according to my Odds stats, better according to my Majority stat.
I've capped the Place Only bet on Pay Attention - so that will hurt if it's unplaced. Didn't place, sadly. Aside from on this bet, and the stake on any main tip that comes in, I'll be more than happy just to break even. Looks another Laura Luck day to me

Financial Summary E&OE:-
C/F to Jan Week 2.6 Day 284 (Phase 06C: Day 72)
BASIC PLAN (Phase 06C only wef 01/11/06) surplus = +61 @ an average this Phase of +c1/day .... within OVERALL Phase 06C deficit of -400 points gross @ an average of -c6/day deary me (or should I say 'dreary?' But maybe the tide is turning?). Gain-days in Phase 06C: Jan '07: *10 B/pl (*8 O/a) Dec '06: 16 (11) [-300 O/a] Nov: 19 (15) [-218] *Break-Even days count as Win ones - a ruling I introduced a while back on the basis that if I haven't lost, I must have won.
PLUS B/f BASIC PLAN (Phase 06B: 01/08/06-31/10/06) = +204 points .... within OVERALL (Phase 06B only) = +41 points gross (Gain-days in Phase 06B: Aug:- 14 Basic Plan (Overall 15) [-105 O/a]; Sep: 15 (13) [-201];  Oct: 17 (18) [+347])
PLUS B/f BASIC PLAN (Phase 06A: 01/04/06 to 31/7/06) = -366 points ..... within  OVERALL Phase 06A only = -2656 points gross (Gain-days in Phase 06A: In Apr: Overall 11 from 29 bet-days [-957]; May: 15 from 31 [-174]; Jun: 15 from 30 [+408]; Jul: 15 from 31 [-1938])   

Rows 1 & 2 - No qualifier
Bets (Row 2): Ad hoc Supplementary Mop Up on PAY ATTENTION/Lost & Short-list (Place Only) 'Combo,' Mistake/s, Discrepancy (Negligible)     OVERALL -9

Row 3
110 Kelso. PAY ATTENTION/Lost F/c 8/15 Min value odds according to my Odds Config. stat +20% = 1.59 New odds stat stakes enhancer (General) x 1.68 Old stat stakes enhancer x 1.31
Bets: Capped Place Only, the 3 Combos + Xtras (FRENCH SAULAIE/WON added to LateXtra/1)     BASIC PLAN -8

Place Only I - the above, plus
Hunt: NORTON SAPPHIRE/Won
Bet: Basic (Capped on Pay Attention), Xtra Combo + LateXtra/1     BASIC PLAN -6

Place Only II
Hunt: LUNAR ECLIPSE/Lost
Kelso: DELRAY BEACH/Lost
Wolv: CLIMATE/WON - BELDON HILL/WON
Bets: Basic     BASIC PLAN EVEN [+0.19]

Naps I 
PAY ATTENTION/Lost (Double stake) - see above
Bet: Small Basic, 'Double' (tiny enhancement of the Basic bet), 2-Row Double (with Row 1 usually, but a tiny further enhancement of the Basic bet today), Total Combo + Total/1     BASIC PLAN -5

Naps II
Wolv: BELDON HILL/WON
Bet: Total Combo + Total/1     BASIC PLAN EVEN [0.00]

My Lay bets &
Fancies - Both rows discontinued for the time being
Added to Fancies today - 340 Kels. COLLEGE CITY/4TH - good run for t'money
Bet: Place Only     OVERALL -2

Tips
1) No Main tip [Bet (nearly always, of late, against advice, as these are win, occasionally EW, tips): Split Small Win/Place Only, to grand total of ? points (for a 'small/large' field)  OVERALL N/A]
2) Endorsements over jumps (Good words), including my dedicated stat for this bet category: Hunt: LUNAR ECLIPSE/Lost (41W30L) no bet - FRENCH SAULAIE/Won (41W30L)
Kels: PAY ATTENTION/Lost (60W57L)
Bets: Place Only     [OVERALL -4]
3) 810 Gulf/(USA). BEA PLUS/3RD F/c 5/1 - from yesterday
Other tip/s: 1240 Arli(RSA) CORSICAN LAD/LOST F/c 4/1
Race 7 Gulf(USA) No8 MISS TIZZYNOW F/c 8/1/Late result - see tomorrow
Bets: Tiny win     [OVERALL -1]