2007-Jan-8
Diary for Jan 08 2007
Day279Month10Week2.1Phase06CDay67
OUTCOME The Fancies & Tips Rows undermined Overall, alas, not for the 1st time BASIC PLAN +5 (within OVERALL -13)
PROSPECTS (as they seemed yesterday): Definite "Laura Luck" day, I would say
Just one (marginal) qualifier GREENBRIDGE (Row 3). It's another "bumper." My Majority stat is not great and 3 runners oppose it in the Selection Box. But very little risked today and recent results have been good. So, I take the chance. If it only places, and other results are at worst mixed, likely I'll break even or thereabouts.
Financial Summary E&OE:-
C/F to Jan Week 2.2 Day 280 (Phase 06C: Day 68)
BASIC PLAN (Phase 06C only wef 01/11/06) surplus = +74 @ an average this Phase of +c1/day .... within OVERALL Phase 06C deficit of -379 points gross @ an average of -c6/day deary me (or should I say 'dreary?' So far. But maybe the tide is turning?). Gain-days in Phase 06C: Jan '07: *8 B/pl (*6 O/a) Dec '06: 16 (11) [-300 O/a] Nov: 19 (15) [-218] *Break-Even days count as Win ones - a ruling I introduced a month or so ago on the basis that "if I haven't lost, I must have won."
PLUS B/f BASIC PLAN (Phase 06B: 01/08/06-31/10/06) = +204 points .... within OVERALL (Phase 06B only) = +41 points gross (Gain-days in Phase 06B: Aug:- 14 Basic Plan (Overall 15) [-105 O/a]; Sep: 15 (13) [-201]; Oct: 17 (18) [+347])
PLUS B/f BASIC PLAN (Phase 06A: 01/04/06 to 31/7/06) = -366 points ..... within OVERALL Phase 06A only = -2656 points gross (Gain-days in Phase 06A: In Apr: Overall 11 from 29 bet-days [-957]; May: 15 from 31 [-174]; Jun: 15 from 30 [+408]; Jul: 15 from 31 [-1938])
Rows 1 & 2 - No qualifier
Bets (Row 2): Ad hoc Supplementary Mop Up, Short-list (Place Only) 'Combo,' the 3 Combos (small win bets as above), Mistake/s, Discrepancy (*Negligible) OVERALL +1
Row 3
350 Taun. GREENBRIDGE/WON F/c 4/5 Min value odds according to my Odds Config. stat + 20% = 1.93 New odds stat stakes enhancer (General) x 1.75 Old stat stakes reducer x 0.71
Bets: Place Only, the 3 Combos (collectively a win bet today) BASIC PLAN +2
Place Only I - on Row 3
Bet: Basic, Xtra Combo BASIC PLAN +2
Place Only II
Taun: FREEZE UP/LOST
Wolv: NEWS OF THE DAY/WON/GOLD RESPONSE/3RD
Bets: Basic BASIC PLAN EVEN [+0.39]
Naps I
GREENBRIDGE/Won (Double stake) - see above
Bet: Basic, 'Double' (an enhancement of the Basic bet), 2-Row 'Double' (a further enhancement of the Basic bet), Total Combo (as above) BASIC PLAN +1
Naps II - No selection
My Lay bets - Discontinued for the time being
Fancies - the above (except Place Only II) plus
Ludl: HARRINGAY/LOST - TURNBERRY BAY/LOST
Wolv: BOND PLAYBOY/3RD - KILIMANDSCHARO/WON
Bets: Multi Fancy (EWTrebles) + Xtras (PREDATEUR/WON added just before race to Xtra/1 Multi Fancy)
Added Wolv: SOFT MORNING/WON/ARCH OF TITUS/2ND
Bets: Small Place Only OVERALL -10
Tips
1) No Main tip [Bet (nearly always, of late, against advice, as these are win, occasionally EW, tips): Split Small Win/Place Only, to grand total of ? points] [OVERALL N/A]
2) Endorsements over jumps (Good words) at Ludl: TURNBERRY BAY/Lost
Bets: Place Only [OVERALL -9]
3) Other tips: FRANK'S TIME 610 Gulf(USA/NON RUN - from yesterday
No1 653 Phil(USA). STRONG N SILENT F/c 3/1/Late result - see tomorrow
Bets: Small win [OVERALL N/A]
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