The Totopoly Kid

Results of bets Sun Jan 07 2007 Sunday Mode not applied unless stated
Day278Month10Week1.7Phase06CDay66

"Laura Luck" day, I think
PROSPECTS (as they seemed yesterday)
I am not quite sure why but I ended up with a short-list of 12 [4W-5PL-2L-1NR]. I finalised these down to 1 for Row 2 (taking a chance on a "bumper" race), 2 for Row 3, and 2 in Place Only II [3W-1PL-1NR]. My stats for these (except for one of the Place Only qualifiers) are non-contradictory and encouraging, not that these indications guarantee anything. I have gone in modestly as regards stake levels, but losses could aggregate to an unhelpful sum if Laura Luck happens to desert me.
Today I am omitting the usual Short-List (Place Only) 'Combo' but I've chanced a 12Fold EW Accum. on the original 12 (except that PHAR BLEU/WON replaces the non-runner Bueno Vista).
OUTCOME     BASIC PLAN +7 (within OVERALL +19)

Financial Summary E&OE:-
C/F to Jan Week 2.1 Day 279 (Phase 06C: Day 67)
BASIC PLAN (Phase 06C only wef 01/11/06) surplus = +69 @ an average this Phase of +c1/day .... within OVERALL Phase 06C deficit of -366 points gross @ an average of -c6/day deary me (or should I say 'dreary?' So far. But maybe the tide is turning?). Gain-days in Phase 06C: Jan '07: *7 B/pl (*6 O/a) Dec '06: 16 (11) [-300 O/a] Nov: 19 (15) [-218] *Break-Even days count as Win ones - a ruling I introduced a month or so ago on the basis that "if I haven't lost, I must have won."
PLUS B/f BASIC PLAN (Phase 06B: 01/08/06-31/10/06) = +204 points .... within OVERALL (Phase 06B only) = +41 points gross (Gain-days in Phase 06B: Aug:- 14 Basic Plan (Overall 15) [-105 O/a]; Sep: 15 (13) [-201];  Oct: 17 (18) [+347])
PLUS B/f BASIC PLAN (Phase 06A: 01/04/06 to 31/7/06) = -366 points ..... within  OVERALL Phase 06A only = -2656 points gross (Gain-days in Phase 06A: In Apr: Overall 11 from 29 bet-days [-957]; May: 15 from 31 [-174]; Jun: 15 from 30 [+408]; Jul: 15 from 31 [-1938])   

Row 1 - No qualifier

Row 2
340 Plum. DEBAUCHERY/WON F/c 8/11 Min value odds according to my Odds Config. stat + 20% = 1.98 New odds stat stakes enhancer (Row 2) x 1.44 Old stat stakes enhancer x 4.60 (based on 28 results: 23W5L)
Bets: Token Basic, FS (1st rung) + Mop Up, 2-Row 'Treble' (with Row 1, but today an enhancement of the Basic bet), Place Only, Ad hoc Supplementary Mop Up, tiny Ad hoc Supplementaries: Place Only on DANCE WITH WOLVES/WON & 12Fold EW Accum. + Xtras, Mistake/s, the 3 Combos + Xtras, Discrepancy (*+1.32)     BASIC PLAN +2 plus OVERALL [+9] *adjusted to +10

Row 3
110 Plum. BUENA VISTA/NON RUN F/c 11/10 Min val odds + 20% = 1.59 New odds stat stakes enhancer (General) x 1.66 Old stat stakes enhancer x 1.70
220 SoutA. BIENHEUREUX/3RD F/c 2/1 Min val odds + 20% = 1.83 New odds stat stakes enhancer (General) x 1.75 Old stat stakes adjuster x Zero
Bets: Place Only, the 3 Combos + Xtras    BASIC PLAN +2

Place Only I - on Rows 2 & 3 and
Plum: PHAR BLEU/Won on Betfair (in replacement of the non runner Buena Vista)
Bet: Basic, Xtra Combo + LateXtra    BASIC PLAN +2

Place Only II
Plum: THIRTY FIVE BLACK/LOST/THE SAWYER/WON
SoutA: PARA SIEMPRE/WON/POPOLO/2ND
Bets: Basic     BASIC PLAN EVEN [-0.31]

Naps I  - No selection
Naps II
BUENA VISTA/Non run (Double stake) - see above
Bets: Total Combo + Xtra    BASIC PLAN EVEN [+0.21]

My Lay bets - Discontinued for the time being

Fancies - on all the above (except Place Only II) plus
Plum: MARC OF BRILLIANCE/3RD - DANCE WITH WOLVES/Won
Bets: Multi Fancy (EWTrebles)     OVERALL +1

Tips
1) No Main tip [Bet (always against advice, as these are win tips, occasionally EW): Split Small Win/Place Only, to grand total of ? points]     [OVERALL N/A]
2) Endorsements over jumps (Good words) at Plum: MARC OF BRILLIANCE/3rd - BUENA VISTA/Non run replaced by PHAR BLEU/Won - THE HARDY BOY added due to non runners/WON
Bets: Place Only     [OVERALL +2]
3) Other tips: No9 FRANK'S TIME 610 Gulf(USALate result - see tomorrow
Bet: Tiny win     [OVERALL N/A]