Greetings all,

there is another big night of footie later today.

In particular,

Man Utd home to Everton, and odds-on favourites to win (1.32 Man Utd win, 14 Everton win, 5.6 the draw).

Bolton home to Chelsea, with Chelsea odds on favourites to win (1.67 Chelsea win, 6.6 Bolton win, 3.95 the draw).

Again, if there is a slip up by one of the two front runners, there should be some significant market action, since there is a possibility that Chelsea could pull level, or Man Utd go 4 or six points clear, rather than the current differential be maintained. The weight of shrewdie opinion on punters lounge favours Man Utd and Chelsea for sure, but both opposing teams are capable of upsetting the applecart on their day. Bolton turned over Arsenal at home at the weekend, but their defence has been ravaged by injuries, so it will need a backs to the wall and opportunistic performance to keep Chelsea from winning. I think the odds are a bit wrong here, and that Chelsea should be more like 2.0 than 1.67, so there is possible value on Bolton.  Man Utd should also win, especially as Everton also have significant injuries with Johnson and Cahill both out the last time I checked. Still, I don't care to risk my stake on either of the Man Utd or Chelsea win odds.

I'll be following the post - ante market rather than the in-play market, as I have an interest in Man Utd winning the title that I may have to adjust pretty sharpish if one of the underdogs springs a surprise.

all the best,

FT